Nick is a weather nerd to the core. He graduated from Oregon State University n 2008 with a Bachelor of Science in Earth Science with an emphasis in Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences. In 2010, he decided that he wanted to pair his love of journalism with his passion for weather. So, he enrolled at Syracuse University to earn his Masters of Science in Broadcast & Digital Journalism.
After forecasting for media outlets in Syracuse, New York and Amarillo, Texas he is now in Hattiesburg, Mississippi where he works as the Chief Meteorologist for a local television station and works part time as an Adjunct Professor teaching a course in meteorology.
Latest 18z NAM computer weather model, which is our shorter medium range model, is now bringing in a chance for rain to the panhandles Sunday afternoon / night.
Not bad! And that’s not all! The latest Euro computer weather model is also on board with the NAM.
Now, in saying that, there’s not much rain out there. The total amount of rainfall that any one point will realize should stay below one-tenth of an inch of rain. Sadly, because we lack the available low-level moisture, rain won’t make it all the way to the ground in some spots. So virga will be the name of the game for you folks.
At the end of the day, the rain chances vary between 10- and 30-percent Sunday night. It’s looking like the best bet for rain will be west of a north-south line from Goodwell, Ok to Umbarger, Tx.
In the areas that do have the available low-level moisture, the right ingredients (CAPE Values over 100 J/kg & Bulk Shear above 20kts) are present for a few claps of thunder.
It looks like another round of severe thunderstorms are headed toward the souther Ohio River Valley, parts of Kentucky, Tennessee and Alabama. Scenario As a cold front associated with an area of low pressure swings through the Ohio, Tennessee, Kentucky area the threat for severe weather is possible. The bulk of the severe weather potential will be from Lexington, Kentucky… Read more →
Sometimes, Reed Timmer is about as good as it gets…
Apparently the 06z GFS has pulled a quick U-turn on the 0z projections. And it has gone one step closer to – of all things – December for the high plains.
This is the suggested precipitation type for Monday, March 25, 2013 across the Texas panhandle and the rest of the region in the afternoon.
And yes, blue means snow.
The GFS computer weather model suggests high temperatures in the low 30s on Monday and Tuesday.
Not sure how long this projection will hold. Keep in mind at about 10-12 days out these forecast models are still relatively inconsistent . But if it holds, talk about a far cry from where Amarillo will be today.