Good morning everyone! As we head into the afternoon the Storm Prediction Center is watching an area of NW Texas and SW Oklahoma for severe weather into the afternoon.
After looking at all of the data from the 10z HRRR, 11z RAP and 9z SREF is looks like the threat for severe weather is there, but nothing “outbreak” worthy. In most places, the criteria for a tornado spin up will be met – but only barely. The main concerns are for high winds and hail.
That said, even the threat for hail is relatively low – around 15 percent.
Here is a quick video breakdown of what to expect this afternoon. I want to stress that I don’t think cancelling any plans is necessary for today, just be sure to have a way to get weather alerts and keep an eye to the sky.
If you’re traveling today, here is a look at a few forecasts:
Abilene – 40% chance for thunderstorms after 5pm, some severe
Amarillo – 30% chance for thunderstorms after 3pm, some strong
Childress – 50% chance for thunderstorms after 5pm, some severe
Lawton – 30% chance for thunderstorms after 7pm, some strong
Lubbock – 10% chance for thunderstorms after 2pm, some strong
Midland – 30% chance for thunderstorms after 4pm, some severe
Snyder – 40% chance for thunderstorms after 4pm, some severe
Vernon – 50% chance for thunderstorms after 6pm, some severe
Wichita Falls – 50% chance for thunderstorms after 6pm, some severe
