18z NAM shows heightened severe possibilities

Looks like the 18z NAM computer weather model is showing some bias toward a more organized severe weather event for Friday.

As it looks right now, it has the dryline set up from Dalhart to Friona with storms starting to fire – like mentioned earlier – between 3pm and 5pm. Now it is suggesting CAPE values in the 400 to 1,000 range with bulk shear still looking like 40kts and higher. It also shows dewpoints in the 50s and temperatures in the 60s.

Very interesting…



Author of the article:


Nick Lilja

Nick is former television meteorologist with stints in Amarillo and Hattiesburg. During his time in Hattiesburg, he was also an adjunct professor at the University of Southern Mississippi. He is a graduate of both Oregon State and Syracuse University that now calls Houston home. Now that he is retired from TV, he maintains this blog in his spare time.