Hurricane Zeta is starting to make the turn to a northerly direction and eventually will turn north-northeastward. Zeta is now anticipated to be close to Category 2 strength when it makes landfall along the coast of Louisiana. Because it will be moving rather quickly, it will bring some of those Category 2 winds with it into southern Mississippi.
That mixed with the incoming cold front will allow some of those winds to mix down to the surface easier over a larger area. I am becoming increasingly concerned that there will be stronger wind over a larger area. Not everyone will get Category 2 Hurricane wind, but more people will see wind gusts higher than 30mph. And those winds will have the ability to take down trees.
Given the latest info from the NHC and data from the model guidance, there have been a few changes made to the forecasts for the listed communities. Mainly with top-end wind potential, timeline for tornado threat and the potential length of power outages.
Right now
10AM SUMMARY
LOCATION…26.9N 91.7W
ABOUT 220 MI…355 KM SW OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
ABOUT 235 MI…380 KM SSW OF NEW ORLEANS LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…90 MPH…150 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…N OR 10 DEGREES AT 18 MPH…30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…976 MB…28.82 INCHES
Forecast from the NHC
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Zeta was located near latitude 26.9 North, longitude 91.7 West. Zeta is moving toward the north near 18 mph (30 km/h). A faster northward to north-northeastward motion is expected through tonight followed by an even faster northeastward motion on Thursday and an east-northeastward motion early Friday. On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will make landfall in southeastern Louisiana this afternoon. Zeta will then move close to the Mississippi coast this evening, and move across the southeastern and eastern United States on Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible during the next few hours, and Zeta is expected to reach the northern Gulf Coast as a hurricane before weakening over the southeastern United States on Thursday.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).
The minimum central pressure estimated from Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations is 976 mb (28.82 inches).
For more information on the forecast in general, head here: http://nickelblock.com/?p=32948
Northern areas
Quitman
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 50mph
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 40mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 10 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Bay Springs
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 45mph
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 35mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 8 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Magee
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 40mph
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 30mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 6 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Near Highway 84
Monticello
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 35mph
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 25mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are very unlikely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 3 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Collins
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 55mph
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 40mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 8 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Laurel
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 60mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 40mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 10 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Ellisville
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 60mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 40mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 10 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Waynesboro
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 65mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 50mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 1am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 12 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Leakesville
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 50mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 70mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 55mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 1am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 18 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Along Highway 98
Beaumont / McLain
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 75mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 55mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 1am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 18 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
New Augusta / Richton
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 70mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 55mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 1am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 12 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Hattiesburg / Petal
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 60mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 45mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 1am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 12 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Sumrall/Seminary
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 55mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 40mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 1am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 12 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Columbia
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 50mph
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Lingering showers, wind gusts up to 30mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are Less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 8 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Tylertown
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 45mph
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Lingering showers, wind gusts up to 30mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are Less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 6 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Purvis
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 70mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Lingering showers, wind gusts up to 40mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 1am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 18 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
The Highway 26 area
Lumberton
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 70mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Lingering showers, wind gusts up to 40mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 1am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 18 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Poplarville
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 60mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 75mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Lingering showers, wind gusts up to 35mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 1am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 24 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Wiggins
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 60mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 80mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Lingering showers, wind gusts up to 40mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 1am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 36 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Lucedale
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-8PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 60mph
Wednesday 8PM-12AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 80mph, tornadoes may be possible
Thursday 12AM-4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 40mph
Thursday 4AM-8AM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 1am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 36 hours – or more. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
