The near normal weather that was experienced this week will slowly be replaced this weekend by warmer weather. Regionally, heat indices should crack 100F on the 4th of July. As the heat returns, however, afternoon and evening rain showers will still be a frequent possibility and could provide temporary relief from the heat for local communities.
The pattern for the next few days will trend warmer and stay wet. As a result, take advantage of the heat indices below 100F because the start of the next week will see criteria that nearly meets the NWS threshold for a heat advisory.
As for rain showers, they will continue to stay isolated with about 50-percent of the region seeing some amount of rain each day. Over the course of the week, these rain showers will produce rainfall totals ranging from .5″-to-1″ with localized places seeing totals near 1.5″. For the next couple of days, including today, there is a marginal risk (1 out of 4) for excessive rainfall. Please visit https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov to keep aware of your risk for flooding each day.
So, we established that these next few days will be warm and wet. What does a the pattern mean for the 4th of July?
Independence Day will be a hot one in southeastern Mississippi and southwestern Alabama with heat indices of +100F peaking around 1 pm CDT. So, be sure to drink some water in addition to your beer! Additionally, if you have a pool, take full advantage of that on Monday because you will want to find ways to stay cool. Now, as for fireworks, you should be okay! Rain showers will be isolated and brief, so just keep an eye on the sky and remember: if thunder roars, go indoors!
Day-to-Day Forecast
Friday
Sunny-to-cloudy skies with an 80-percent chance of afternoon and evening thunderstorms. High temperatures in the upper-80s are likely with heat indices in the mid-90s; overnight lows in the mid-70s are expected.
Saturday
Sunny-to-cloudy skies with a 70-percent chance of an afternoon or evening thunderstorm. High temperatures in the upper-80s are likely with heat indices in the upper-90s; overnight lows in the mid-70s are expected.
Sunday
Partly cloudy skies with a 60-percent chance of an afternoon or evening thunderstorm. High temperatures near 90F are likely with heat indices near 100F; overnight lows in the mid-70s are expected.
Independence Day
Partly cloudy skies with a 50-percent chance of an afternoon or evening thunderstorm. High temperatures near 90F are likely with heat indices between 100F-to-105F; overnight lows in the mid-70s are expected.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny skies with a 40-percent chance of an afternoon or evening thunderstorm. High temperatures in the low-90s are likely with heat indices between 100F-to-105F; overnight lows in the mid-70s are expected.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny skies with a 40-percent chance of an afternoon or evening thunderstorm. High temperatures in the low-90s are likely with heat indices between 100F-to-105F; overnight lows in the mid-70s are expected.
Thursday
Mostly sunny skies with a 40-percent chance of an afternoon or evening thunderstorm. High temperatures in the mid-90s are likely with heat indices between 100F-to-105F; overnight lows in the mid-70s are expected.
