The SPC is holding the Enhanced Risk for severe weather. This includes a ‘hatched’ area with the 10% tornado risk meaning an increased risk for an EF-2 or stronger tornado.
Here is an updated look at the timeline for the potential severe weather across the region tomorrow.
Here is a look at the Karrie Meter:
Not everyone will see severe weather from this go-around.
During the highlighted times below, expect to deal with…
EVERYONE — Storms, brief heavy rain, lightning, and wind gusts up to 40mph
MOST PLACES — Storms, brief heavy rain, lightning, and wind gusts up to 45mph
MANY SPOTS — Storms, Heavy rain, brief flash flooding, lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, small hail
SOME PEOPLE — Storms, heavy rain, brief localized flooding, lightning, wind gusts up to 65mph, up to quarter-sized hail
VERY FEW PLACES — Heavy rain, localized flooding, wind gusts exceeding 65mph, up to quarter-sized hail, a tornado (up to EF3 in strength)
COUNTY-BY-COUNTY TIMELINE & THREATS
A quick reminder that this timeline is the first best estimate, based on the latest available data. There will be some changes during the coming 12 to 24 hours.
Louisiana
St. Helena Parish
Thursday 8a – 11a — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 11a – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Tangipahoa Parish
Thursday 8a – 11a — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 11a – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Livingston Parish
Thursday 8a – 11a — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 11a – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Washington Parish
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 2a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
St. Tammany Parish
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Mississippi
NEAR I-20
Copiah County
Thursday 8a – 11a — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 11a – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Simpson County
Thursday 8a – 11a — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 11a – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Smith County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Scott County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Jasper County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Newton County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Clarke County
Thursday 10a – 2p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 2p – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Lauderdale County
Thursday 10a – 2p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 2p – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR
Lincoln County
Thursday 8a – 11a — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 11a – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Lawrence County
Thursday 8a – 11a — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 11a – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Jeff Davis County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Covington County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Jones County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 2a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Wayne County
Thursday 10a – 2p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength)..
Thursday 2p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 3a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR
Pike County
Thursday 8a – 11a — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 11a – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Walthall County
Thursday 8a – 11a — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 11a – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Marion County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Lamar County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 2a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Forrest County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 2a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Perry County
Thursday 10a – 2p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 2p – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 3a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Greene County
Thursday 10a – 2p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 2p – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 3a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
HIGHWAY 26 CORRIDOR
Pearl River County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 1a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Stone County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 2a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
George County
Thursday 10a – 2p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 2p – Thursday 6p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 3a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
COASTAL MISSISSIPPI
Hancock County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 2a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Harrison County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 2a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Jackson County
Thursday 9a – 1p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 1p – Thursday 7p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 6p – Friday 3a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Alabama
Sumter County
Thursday 11a – 3p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 3p – Thursday 8p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 8p – Friday 5a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Choctaw County
Thursday 11a – 3p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 3p – Thursday 8p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 8p – Friday 5a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Washington County
Thursday 11a – 4p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 4p – Thursday 9p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 9p – Friday 5a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
Mobile County
Thursday 11a – 5p — Mostly cloudy with a stout southerly breeze. Isolated storms possible. Some severe. Main concern will be heavy rain, lightning wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a few tornadoes (up to EF-3 in strength).
Thursday 5p – Thursday 9p — Cold front passes with showers and storms ahead of and along the front. Some storms may be severe. Main concerns are brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, small hail and a few tornadoes up to EF-2 in strength.
Thursday 9p – Friday 5a — Storms ending, rain may continue, still breezy.
