Some of the new 00z data is coming down and I wanted ot make a quick post just to shovel out some data and add some context to it since I know it is about to get shared like wildfire on facebook, twitter, snapchat, instagram, and tiktok.
As an aside, an Old-Man-Yells-At-Cloud moment here: There are too many social media outlets.
Invest 92L continues to try to spin around in the Bay of Campeche.
You can see that 92L is trying to spin itself up, but it is being influenced by some dry air to the north that keeps shoving the exhaust back south as well as some wind shear across its northern side.
There is dry air that is also being pulled into the west side of the storm coming off Mexico, while moist air tries to rush in from the east side of the system. It is exhausting pretty well to the south and to the east, but the north and west sides are pretty dry.
Because of all of this, the models don’t seem overly impressed.
And really, the models shouldn’t be overly impressed. This is not an impressive system. Today we saw some pretty decent burts of thunderstorm activity near the center, but not enough to overcome the other limiting factors.
Most models keep this as a Tropical Depression, or weak Tropical Storm.
As for track forecast, most of the models take it into the Lousiana coastline and then curl it to the northeast.
With all of the impacts ont eh east side, this puts southeastern Louisiana, southern Mississippi, lower Alabama and the Florida panhandle in the bullseye for seeing the highest impacts.
Those impacts? Based on the latest available data the impacts would be mainly rain with perhaps some gusty wind at times. And a little bit of storm surge.
Because of that, not much has changed with the Tropical Threat Index. This is going to be mainly a rainmaker.
I’ll have more details and specifics tomorrow, but for now, this is your quick, and very brief, update!
Thanks Nick for caring about us enough to keep us posted on the invest. We miss you at WDAM.
Thank you Nick, I appreciate your time
Well, You said days ago it was going to Houston TX and the Ole Man who yells at clouds got it right and said it would turn toward the NE. You are just mad because you can’t forecast Hurricane is what it is. I know what your problem is man. Get over it you just can’t get rid of the other social weather guys on facebood. It’s now all about you Nick so just go away. You are NOT on WDAM because nobody like you in Hattiesburg. Just go away and leave everyone alone.