9/11/24 8p Hurricane Francine County-by-County forecast Update for Southern MS/AL/LA

The latest from the NHC shows that Hurricane Francine is now on land and will start to morph in the coming hours. It will change from a Hurricane to a flooding-producer and tornado-producer.

The forecast shows Francine will continue to move north through the night. I tend to think it will skirt a bit more to the east before pivoting and moving north.

The timeline on the arrival of Tropical Storm-force wind is shown in the graphic below on the left and the percent-chance you see Hurricane-force winds is below and on the right. Notice the Hurricane-force winds are confined mainly to the immediate coastline.

Below is the county-by-county breakdown. The storm is still strengthening, there is a chance this forecast will change. So please take this for now, but check back for an update.

Please note that all times shown begin on Wednesday and – if needed – move into Thursday morning.



QUICK NOTES

As we talked about last night and earlier today, the dry air – and a little shear – are going to do a number on this thing now that it has moved onshore. The dry air is pushing in from the west and despite the plume of moisture on the east side of the storm, eventually this thing will be cut – nearly – in half with only the northern side with any meaningful rainfall and the east side featuring a tornado risk.

So if you live south of – roughly – Highway 84 the forecast has actually shifted slightly slower, again. That said, some spots will still have plenty of wind and a tornado threat to deal with. For folks north of HWY 84 the forecast has slowed and your wind has also slowed because it looks like this thing may get eaten up a bit quicker.

The good news is the erosion of the back half of the storm as it moves ashore means that the rainfall totals have been reduced for many spots.

I know this may feel like a stressful situation, but I promise you that if you take the right steps, have a plan in place, and execute that plan, you’ll make it through the storm with far less stress.

And before you dive into the forecast, if you appreciate the work I do and want to help buy me a slice of pizza or a coffee, I’d be grateful. This is a pretty time-consuming process and any help you can offer is always awesome!



Along I-20

Rankin County:

Now — 1a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

1a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 40 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 50mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Scott County:

Now — 1a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

1a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 40 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 50mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Newton County:

Now — 1a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

1a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 40 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 50mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Lauderdale County:

Now — 1a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

1a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 35 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 45mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p



Near I-20

Copiah County:

Now — 1a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

1a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 55mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Simpson County:

Now — 1a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

1a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 55mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Smith County:

Now — 1a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

1a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 55mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Jasper County:

Now — 1a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

1a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 55mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Clarke County:

Now — 1a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

1a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 40 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 50mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p



HWY 84 Corridor

Lincoln County:

Now — 12a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 40 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 50mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous power outages are likely, have battery backup if needed
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Lawrence County:

Now — 12a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 55mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous power outages are likely, have battery backup if needed
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Jeff Davis County:

Now — 12a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 60mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous power outages are likely, have battery backup if needed
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Covington County:

Now — 12a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 55mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous power outages are likely, have battery backup if needed
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Jones County:

Now — 12a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 60mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous power outages are likely, have battery backup if needed
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Wayne County:

Now — 12a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 60mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous power outages are likely, have battery backup if needed
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p



HWY 98 Corridor

Pike County:

Now — 11p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 35mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11p — 6a – Sustained wind between 25 and 50 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-6 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9p

Walthall County:

Now — 11p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 35mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11p — 6a – Sustained wind between 30 and 50 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-6 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9p

Marion County:

Now — 11p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 35mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11p — 6a – Sustained wind between 35 and 55 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-6 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9p

Lamar County:

Now — 11p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 35mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11p — 6a – Sustained wind between 30 and 50 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-6 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9p

Forrest County:

Now — 11p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 35mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11p — 6a – Sustained wind between 35 and 50 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-6 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9p

Perry County:

Now — 11p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 35mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11p — 6a – Sustained wind between 35 and 50 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-6 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9p

Greene County:

Now — 11p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 35mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11p — 6a – Sustained wind between 30 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9p



HWY 26 Corridor

Pearl River County:

Now — 10p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 40mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10p — 4a – Sustained wind between 35 and 55 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

4a — 8a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by now

Stone County:

Now — 10p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 40mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10p — 4a – Sustained wind between 35 and 50 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

4a — 8a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by now

George County:

Now — 11p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 40mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11p — 6a – Sustained wind between 35 and 50 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by now



MISSISSIPPI COAST

Hancock County:

Now — 6a – Sustained wind between 35 and 55 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-6 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely
–Peak Storm Surge of 4-6ft

Best to be where you want to be by now

Harrison County:

Now — 6a – Sustained wind between 35 and 50 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-6 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely
–Peak Storm Surge of 4-6ft

Best to be where you want to be by now

Jackson County:

Now — 6a – Sustained wind between 30 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely
–Peak Storm Surge of 3-5ft

Best to be where you want to be by now



LOUISIANA PARISHES

St. Helena Parish:

Now — 10p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 40mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10p — 4a – Sustained wind between 35 and 55 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

4a — 8a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by now

Tangipahoa Parish:

Now — 9p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 40mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

9p — 4a – Sustained wind between 35 and 60 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 80mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

4a — 8a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by now

Washington Parish:

Now — 9p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 40mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

9p — 4a – Sustained wind between 35 and 60 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 80mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

4a — 8a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by now

Livingston Parish:

Now — 4a – Sustained wind between 35 and 60 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 80mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

4a — 8a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by now

St. Tammany Parish:

Now — 4a – Sustained wind between 35 and 60 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 80mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

4a — 8a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by now

Orleans Parish:

Now — 4a – Sustained wind between 35 and 60 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 80mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

4a — 8a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by now



ALABAMA COUNTIES

Sumter County:

Now — 11p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 35mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11p — 6a – Sustained wind between 30 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9p

Choctaw County:

Now — 11p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 35mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11p — 6a – Sustained wind between 30 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9p

Washington County:

Now — 11p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 35mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11p — 6a – Sustained wind between 30 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9p

Mobile County:

Now — 10p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 35mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10p — 6a – Sustained wind between 30 and 45 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9p



MISC REQUESTED COUNTIES

Neshoba County, MS:

Now — 1a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

1a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 40 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 50mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

Franklin County, MS:

Now — 11p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 20 and 35mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11p — 6a – Sustained wind between 25 and 50 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-6 inches.

6a — 10a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9p

Hinds County:

Now — 1a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. Sustained wind between 15 and 30mph. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

1a — 8a – Sustained wind between 25 and 40 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 50mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF1 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 2-4 inches.

8a — 12p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
— A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11p

St. Charles Parish:

Now — 4a – Sustained wind between 35 and 60 mph. There is a chance for showers and storms. The main concerns are the rainbands swinging through with heavy rain, wind gusts up to 80mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 3-5 inches.

4a — 8a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
— Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
— Wind will knock over and blow around anything not tied down or anchored
— Roads may be impassable due to downed trees
— Numerous, multiple-hour, power outages are likely, have battery backup
— A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by now



Author of the article:


Nick Lilja

Nick is former television meteorologist with stints in Amarillo and Hattiesburg. During his time in Hattiesburg, he was also an adjunct professor at the University of Southern Mississippi. He is a graduate of both Oregon State and Syracuse University that now calls Houston home. Now that he is retired from TV, he maintains this blog in his spare time.