It is looking like another dry, clam stretch of weather for the region during the next few days. We may see some precip today, closer to the coast, but otherwise, no major weather problems.
Okay, so it is a bit chilly… But it is winter!
Things will slowly moderate as we move through the week before the next system tries to push through this weekend. This next one won’t have much precip with it, but it will flip the wind back to the north.
Be warned, you’ll probably see weather model maps with snow or ice on them. Don’t get too worried about that (or excited, either) as this type of weather pattern always plays tricks on the model guidance.
Here is a good example for Saturday evening. The ECMWF, generally a good model, is showing snow for parts of Mississippi where it is about 39F to 42F.
‘But Nick, I’ve seen it snow at 45F! So it could happen!’
Totally. It can snow with temperatures in the 40s. But it takes some very special circumstances for that to happen. And there is a big, and very important, difference between seeing an event occur once and predicting that same event to occur again. Especially when it is an ‘extreme’ event like snowing with temperatures in the 40s.
To be blunt, the models just aren’t good enough to accurately predict such an event. They can, though, inaccurately predict such an event. And that is what you see above.
Instead, the most likely event is some passing drizzle and light rain. And that is what the forecast is currently calling for.
Day to Day Forecast
Today
Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s.
Tonight
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Tuesday
Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
Tuesday Night
Clear. Lows in the lower 30s.
Wednesday
Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s.
Thursday
Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s.
Friday
Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
Friday Night
Clear. Lows in the upper 30s.
Saturday
Passing clouds with an outside shot for a shower late. Highs in the around 60. Chance for rain around 10-percent.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy and a shower can’t be ruled out. Lows in the upper 30s. Chance for rain around 10-percent.
Sunday
Sunny, cooler. Highs in the upper 50s.
