Passing showers and storms possible this week with potential system in the Gulf: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 6/27/22

Quite the night, last night, for some folks near Brookhaven! There were about five or six outflow boundaires that all converged, at slightly different times, in the area and it looks like there was enough low-level spin to squeeze out a brief tornado.

https://twitter.com/PatrickEllisWx/status/1541239911080157184

Thankfully, so far, I haven’t heard any reports of injuries and most of the damage was also “minor” but a good reminder that even in the summer these – very brief – tornadoes are possible with very little warning at all.

It looks like the chance for rain will stick around for a few days. The extra clouds and occasional showers will also help to limit temperatures in the afternoon. So, perhaps, everyone’s AC can catch a bit of a break.

Storms will be hit and miss, mainly in the afternoon and evening. But a few folks may pick up some rain and hear some thunder overnight and in the morning. Severe weather is not anticipated. The tornado threat remains very low (but as we saw last night, not zero)

Thankfully, it doesn’t look like flooding rains are in the forecast, either. Instead just tropical showers here and there. Rainfall totals between today and Thursday morning don’t look overly impressive, but they will help gardens and yards to green up.

GFS rainfall estimate through Tuesday morning // Courtesy: Pivotal weather
GFS rainfall estimate through Thursday morning // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

This is all related to a leftover front and a potential tropical system in the Gulf. The system itself doesn’t have a good chance to get organized and developed. But what it will do is open the door for the rains to continue.

Five-day potential development forecast from the National Hurricane Center // Courtesy: nhc.noaa.gov

There are two other areas the NHC is monitoring. Neither pose any immediate threat to the Gulf or Gulf Coast.



Day to Day Forecast

Today
Mostly cloudy with passing storms. Highs in the low 90s. Chance of rain 60-percent.

Tonight
Mostly cloudy with some passing storms possible. Lows in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 40-percent.

Tuesday
Partly sunny. Showers and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy with storms possible overnight. Lows around 70. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Wednesday
Mostly cloudy with a good shot for storms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 70-percent.

Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy with an overnight storm possible. Lows in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 30-percent.

Thursday
Mostly cloudy with storms possible. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 60-percent.

Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s.

Friday
Partly sunny with scattered storms possible. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 40-percent.

Friday Night
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.

Saturday
Mostly sunny with scattered storms possible. Highs around 90. Chance of rain 40-percent.

Saturday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.

Sunday
Mostly sunny with isolated storms possible. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 30-percent. Heat index values up to 105F.



Author of the article:


Nick Lilja

Nick is former television meteorologist with stints in Amarillo and Hattiesburg. During his time in Hattiesburg, he was also an adjunct professor at the University of Southern Mississippi. He is a graduate of both Oregon State and Syracuse University that now calls Houston home. Now that he is retired from TV, he maintains this blog in his spare time.