I’m not sure I believe the forecast data this morning from some of the model guidance, but… here we go!
Some fog this morning will be patchy, so if you head out the door and it isn’t foggy, you may still run into some on the way to work or school. Nothing terribly dense, but it’ll be out there.
As we move through the day, the clouds will increase and there may even be some patchy drizzle. The best chance for rain arrives overnight. That is when the mass of rain that is over Texas (it is raining on my in Houston right now) shifts toward Southern MS/AL/LA.
As it does so, it will run into some dry air and likely fall apart. But! It does look like there will be juuuust enough laft to offer some drizzle overnight to some spots.
This would be another example of, “In January… this would make for far different weather” but instead of severe weather like this past weekend, this type of situation is often what gives us snow flurries.
Instead, this time, it’ll be far too warm (with temperatures in the 50s and 60s) and we will see some spotty drizzle. Just enough to dampen some gardens and grass, but not enough to be meaningful. You may also have to hit the windshield wipers a few times in the morning. But once we get past sunrise, the sun will come back out and things will be dry again
Then things get a bit more interesting as we move toward the weekend. The next system is set to push through the area. But then it doesn’t.
It stops. And falls apart.
That means most of Louisiana sees rainfall, while Mississippi and Alabama stay dry.
Not sure how much I believe that quite yet. The cold front looks reasonably robust on Friday and then by Saturday it’s gone. And it isn’t gone because it moves east and falls apart, it stalls and falls apart. It has happened before, sure, but man…. not often. So it is tough to trust the data right now.
Sot hat is one thing to watch as we head through the week and toward the weekend. If it holds together, we could be talking about storms. If not, it will barely even rain.
DAY TO DAY FORECAST
Today
Patchy fog this morning. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
Tonight
Mostly cloudy with a few showers and patches of drizzle possible overnight. Lows in the mid 50s. Chance for rain around 20 percent.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny. Highs around 80.
Wednesday Night
Clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
Thursday
Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
Thursday Night
Clear. Lows in the mid 50s.
Friday
Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Saturday
Increasing clouds with better chances for rain in Louisiana, western Mississippi. Southeastern Mississippi and Alabama look drier. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 60 percent west, 20 percent east.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Sunday
Partly sunny. Highs around 80.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Monday
Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
