The next shot for precip shows up Today and tomorrow. This will be a good cold rain. No real threat with this first go-around for frozen precip. High temperatures will be around 50 lows will be around 40. So, too warm for frozen things, but still plenty chilly if you have to be out and about doing last second Christmas shopping.
Here is a quick look at the timeline for rain from the Euro:
It will be pretty chilly. Temperatures may get stuck around 40 to 45 degrees for some spots. So it may ‘feel’ cold and like it ‘should’ be snowing, but it will be too warm. And, in fact, it will also be too warm aloft. The skew-t below shows the forcing will be mainly in the Dendritic Growth Zone. But that closer to the ground – around 4,000ft – the temperature will be well-above freezing.
But that isn’t our only chance to see frozen precipitation. As we move through Thursday and into Friday as the next cold front arrives, there may be just enough lingering moisture to allow for some ice crystal flurries to develop.
So while real snow is looking less and less likely, a few ice crystal flurries still can’t be ruled out. This is why…. Take a look at the estimated radar from the Euro:
Now take a look at the skew-t. Things look pretty warm. Too warm for snow.
But if we sneak in a bit closer, we can see that there is a chance for a few ice crystal flurries.
And then it will be cold. Really cold. And breezy. That cold will last from Friday through Sunday. Looking at the potential wind gusts and wind chills, you can see that we are talking about some seriously cold air.
This is definitely a 4Ps situation. Protect the plants, protect the pets, protect people who don’t ahve easy access to heat, and protect your pipes.
Temperatures will be cold enough to cause hypothermia and even frostbite if you are outside for an extended period of time.
Here is some info from Ready.gov:
Frostbite causes loss of feeling and color around the face, fingers and toes.
- Signs: Numbness, white or grayish-yellow skin, firm or waxy skin.
- Actions: Go to a warm room. Soak in warm water. Use body heat to warm. Do not massage or use a heating pad.
Hypothermia is an unusually low body temperature. A temperature below 95 degrees is an emergency.
- Signs: Shivering, exhaustion, confusion, fumbling hands, memory loss, slurred speech or drowsiness.
- Actions: Go to a warm room. Warm the center of the body first—chest, neck, head and groin. Keep dry and wrapped up in warm blankets, including the head and neck.
Reminder! You can monitor live conditions, the radar, and look at the future radar and the 7-day forecast on the blog now: https://www.nickelblock.com/local-detailed-forecast/
DAY TO DAY FORECAST
Today
Passing clouds with showers possible. Highs in the upper 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Tonight
Cloudy. Rain likely. Lows around 40. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Tuesday
Cloudy. Showers likely. Highs around 50. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 50s.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy with rain possible. Highs around 60. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy with some showers and ice crystal flurries possible before midnight. Lows around 25. Chance of precip 30 percent.
Friday
Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s.
Friday Night
Mostly clear. Cold with lows around 20.
Saturday
Mostly sunny. Highs around 40.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s.
Christmas Day
Sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.
