This morning, the showers and storms should be pretty benign, albeit noisy at times. Lightning and thunder are about as bad as the weather will get.
Looking at the forecast for the next few days, I asked ChatGPT to give the forecast a shot. I put in a bunch of info and tried to see what it could produce and the results were pretty surprising.
We may see additional popup showers and thunderstorms that may develop today, with the morning showers possibly keeping the area somewhat stabilized. However, we still expect strong updrafts over parts of the area this afternoon, with a possibility of some strong downdrafts with storms that develop on the northern edges of the deeper moisture.
Although the confidence for any widespread severe weather is low, we could see some isolated strong to severe storms develop, with the primary hazard being damaging wind gusts. Some hail cannot be ruled out. Late tonight, there is a slight chance for showers and storms to dip into far northern parts of the forecast area.
Moving on to Tuesday through next Monday, we can expect above-normal temperatures along with higher rain chances. Model guidance shows slight disagreement regarding the timing of the convection, with the ECMWF showing slightly higher precip amounts particularly across the southern half of the area by early Tuesday morning.
Not bad, and actually pretty accurate. It helps that one of the major inputs was the forecast discussion from the Jackson National Weather Service, though. Those guys and girls know weather!
In all, though, the current weather pattern will likely persist through the week. This is pretty typical May weather for our area, honestly. Maybe a bit more rainy than normal, but seeing these afternoon storms and little overnight clusters move through isn’t out of the ordinary.
Weather Maps
Need more weather data? I’ve tried to update the weather maps this morning, given them a peek!
Select Data Set:
REGIONAL DAY TO DAY FORECAST
Today: Patchy fog this morning. Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms. A chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then a slight chance of showers after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Tuesday: Partly sunny with a slight chance of thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs around 90. Southwest winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
Wednesday: Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
Thursday: Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Thursday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
Friday: Partly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs around 90. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
