This may look pretty menacing:
And there is the potential for some robust storms to the NW. But down around our neck of the woods, it doesn’t look as supportive for severe weather. You may not even get rain tonight! It will all depend on location. The closer you live to I-20 and points north of that, the better the potential you see a severe storm.
Model guidance is not very impressed with the potential for storms south of I-20 in Mississippi.
The meagerness of the line as it moves through means that we can trim some of the potential threats / concerns a bit.
WHO SEES WHAT DURING THE STORMS?
EVERYONE — Breezy conditions, wind gusts up to 35mph
MOST AREAS — Breezy conditions, brief rain shower, wind gusts up to 45mph
SOME PEOPLE — Breezy conditions, brief heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 50mph, small hail
FEW SPOTS — Breezy conditions, very heavy rain, lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of half dollars, the chance for a tornado (up to EF-2 in strength)
The Karrie Meter is down a bit. But generally is about the same. The “TOR LEAN” is still higher than the Karrie Meter which means the tornado threat remains statistically “higher than normal” in this type of setup.
Notice that the timeline is a bit different, too. Instead, it now shows a brief shot for storms after dinner and then the front moving through overnight.
I think the highest risk for severe weather is closer to I-20 and then – of course – points northwest of that and up into the Delta. And then overnight across parts of northern Mississippi.
Once this rolls through, then we face a bit of unsettled weather as we move through the weekend and into next week. In fact, I’m thinking that more folks see storms on Sunday and Monday than see just simple rain today.
Of course, you can follow along with the weather all day and night over on the app. It’ll have the latest from the SPC, a live look at the radar, the future radar estimates, and – of course – alert you if the National Weather Service issues a watch/warning for your area.
REGIONAL DAY TO DAY FORECAST
A brief reminder that the day-to-day forecast over on the app is going to be more site specific to your location. But it is “computer generated” as I don’t ahve time to go through and make a forecast for everone’s individual house. Thsi forecast, though, while more general, is checked out by a human! So it may end up looking a bit different.
Today
Mostly cloudy this morning, then partly sunny with a slight chance of showers this afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Tonight
Cloudy with a chance for storms overnight. Some may be severe. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 40 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent, higher north, lower south.
Saturday
Partly sunny in the morning, then clearing. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph.
Saturday Night
Increasing clouds with a few showers possible. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Sunday
Mostly cloudy with storms possible. Some may be marginally severe. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Sunday Night
A slight chance of thunderstorms. Showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Monday
Mostly cloudy with a chance for more storms. Highs in the mid 70s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy a few showers and storms possible. Lows in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy with showers and storms possible. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Tuesday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy in the evening, then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s.
Thursday
Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
Thank you, AGAIN, for looking out for us!