I pulled the model data and took at look at the analogs to see if I could shake out an early look at the Christmas forecast for the area and I think is does a good job to spell out some of the potentials, uncertainty and what the computers are thinking right now.
Keeping in mind that these numbers are basically straight from a computer, they will look a bit different than the “official forecast” I post daily… here is a look at the next three weeks:
Looking at the next three weeks, it looks like a bit of a roller coaster. We are warm this week until the front rolls through Tue/Wed of next week.
Then cooler with a few days in the mid 50s for highs (not sure I’m buying three-consecutive days of 55, I think we will be a bit more variable than that).
After that, we warm up and the next system rolls through on December 23rd with another shot for showers and storms (and given the recent trends, a low-end risk for severe weather).
That leaves Christmas to be mostly sunny with highs around 60 and no real chance for rain. As of now. With the next shot for rain on the 28th.
Since Christmas is sandwiched between storms systems, though, I’d argue that this is likely going to change in the coming few weeks. But hey, its a first look!
Quick reminder: We have a new page to get the latest current conditions, forecast info and a look at the radar: https://www.nickelblock.com/local-detailed-forecast/
