Clouds and rain this morning may feature a few rumbles of thunder but there is a pretty stout inversion set up, so severe weather is very unlikely. We should start to clear out as we head through the day with some patchy drizzle here and there before we truly break back into some sunshine. The active weather pattern persists as we have hit and miss chances for rain through the morning today, the day tomorrow, and Friday, too.
By Friday night the next system is set to push through the area with a line of storms. Most of the rain won’t arrive until early Saturday AM, but we are still hammering down the specific timeline.
The atmosphere is still looking capable of producing and sustaining severe weather as the line passes through the area.
The CIPS Analogs is showing a large area of potential severe weather in historically similar events. So this next system is on many folks’ radar.
As I pointed out on Twitter this morning, thankfully, model guidance shows a system that doesn’t historically produce significant tornadoes.
So while, yes, severe weather is possible, this looks like mainly a rain and wind even for most spots rather than a “tornado outbreak” like some other folks have been saying.
And, in fact, the SPC is in line suggesting that, sure there is a Slight Risk for severe storms, but the highest risk lies along the Mississippi River to the north.
Beyond this system things cool down a bit for a few days and settle down.
Today
Skies clearing through the day with a few showers this morning. Highs in the mid 60s. The chance for rain is around 30-percent.
Tonight
Areas of fog after midnight. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Thursday
Areas of fog in the morning turning to a mostly cloudy sky. A few showers or drizzle will be possible. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance for rain is around 30-percent.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy. Warmer. Lows in the mid 60s.
Friday
Mostly cloudy. Highs around 80. A breezy south wind at 10 to 15 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy with showers and storms possible overnight. Some may be severe. Lows in the upper 60s. The chance of rain 50-percent.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy with storms possible before noon. Highs in the mid 70s. The chance of rain 70-percent.
Saturday Night
Clearing skies. Colder. Lows around 40.
Sunday
Sunny, cooler. Highs around 60.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear. Lows around 40.
Monday
Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
Monday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
Tuesday
Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
