Things are looking a bit more active around here as we close out 2021. Mother Nature wouldn’t go out with a whimper, I suppose. She needs to go out with some sort of ‘ang’ for the Southern MS/AL/LA region.
The first hurdle we have to jump over is a midweek shot for some showers, storms and the potential for severe weather.
This setup doesn’t look particularly potent, by any means. Current model data may change, but for now, this looks like a very typical Slight Risk type of day for the region with some passing showers and storms and only a few spots see the severe weather and there may be a few tornadoes across the entire area outlined in green and yellow.
Historically this type of an even doesn’t produce large, strong, or long-track tornadoes. Instead, setups like this produce EF0 and EF1 tornadoes more often.
The second system that is set to move through shows up around Saturday and that one may feature around round of severe weather, too. This one may end up being a bit more potent, but it doesn’t appear to look like anything too ‘outrageous’ within the model data.
The CIPS Analogs suggests a potential, but not much higher than Wednesday’s event.
But let’s clear one hurdle at a time. First things first – Wednesday.
Day to Day Forecast
Today
Partly cloudy. Highs around 80. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Tonight
Partly cloudy in the evening, then mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of light rain after midnight. Lows in the lower 60s.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy with slight chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. The chance of rain 40 percent.
Tuesday Night
Showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. The chance of rain 40 percent.
Wednesday
Mostly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Some thunderstorms may be severe in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. The chance of rain 70 percent.
Wednesday Night
Storms ending around midnight. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. The chance of rain 40 percent.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy with a few showers possible. Highs in the upper 70s. The chance of rain 20 percent.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
Friday
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
New Years Day
Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 70s. The chance of rain 60 percent.
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. The chance of rain 40 percent.
Sunday
Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Cooler. Highs in the lower 60s.
