Showers and storms should be a bit more sparse today. But they will likely fire up across the same areas as yesterday – give or take. Looking at some of the low-level convergence, focring and instability maps, I’d say the best bet for storms this afternoon is in the yellow circled area.
Any storms that do develop today will feature brief heavy rain, lightning and gusty wind. The tornado threat is almost zero, but not quite (it is the central Gulf Coast after all).
Tomorrow, I think there will be a slightly better shot for storms in the afternoon as a weak front tries to sneak into the region. Again, technical severe weather isn’t likely, but storms may have the obligatory brief heavy rain, lightning and gusty wind. I don’t think we can rule out some small hail tomorrow, too.
Then on Saturday I think we have another shot for afternoon storms. I’m watching this one closely as the USM baseball game will start around 2p. In fact, here is a look at the forecast for the game:
Things calm down a bit on Sunday and storms look more sparse and that should hold as we move through the first half of next week.
REGIONAL DAY TO DAY FORECAST
Today: Sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms this afternoon. Highs in the mid 90s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Tonight: Mostly clear. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the upper 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Friday: Sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. North winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Friday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening, then clearing. Lows in the upper 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Saturday: Mostly sunny. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. East winds around 5 mph, becoming southwest in the afternoon. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy Lows in the upper 60s.
Sunday: Sunny. A few storms possible. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s.
Monday: Mostly sunny. A few storms possible. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Monday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s.
Tuesday: Sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
Wednesday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s.
