Attempting an AI-assisted forecast for late next week: A south Mississippi county-by-county breakdown for potential severe weather next Friday

I mentioned the risk for severe weather next week on this morning’s forecast. The Storm Prediction Center has already outlined parts of the region with a Slight Risk for severe weather. That is a “2” on the 1-to-5 scale where “5” is the highest risk for the most significant severe weather.

And this afternoon I wanted to try something with NQLBOT, our AI Weather Helper. This is an AI-assisted early look at a county-by-county forecast for next Friday.

This is too early to really be able to nail down specifics like this, but I wanted to give it a shot and I wanted to share that attempt with everyone.

If this holds, it would likely mean a Marginal Risk for severe weather across much of our area. That is a “1” on the same 1-to-5 scale. The main concerns would be brief heavy rain, lightning, gusty wind, small hail and the chance for a brief and weak tornado.

North of I-20

Rankin County:

10a — 2p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
3p — 7p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
8p — 12a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 1p

Scott County:

11a — 3p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
4p — 8p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 2p

Newton County:

12p — 4p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
5p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
10p — 2a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 3p

Lauderdale County:

1p — 5p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
6p — 10p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
11p — 3a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 4p

Near I-20

Simpson County:

10a — 2p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
3p — 7p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
8p — 12a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 1p

Smith County:

11a — 3p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
4p — 8p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 2p

Jasper County:

12p — 4p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
5p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
10p — 2a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 3p

Clarke County:

1p — 5p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
6p — 10p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
11p — 3a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 4p

HWY 84 Corridor

Lawrence County:

10a — 2p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
3p — 7p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
8p — 12a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 1p

Jeff Davis County:

11a — 3p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
4p — 8p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 2p

Covington County:

12p — 4p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
5p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
10p — 2a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 3p

Jones County:

1p — 5p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
6p — 10p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
11p — 3a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 4p

Wayne County:

2p — 6p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
7p — 11p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
12a — 4a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 5p

HWY 98 Corridor

Walthall County:

11a — 3p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
4p — 8p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 1p

Marion County:

12p — 4p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
5p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
10p — 2a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 2p

Lamar County:

1p — 5p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
6p — 10p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
11p — 3a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 4p

Forrest County:

2p — 6p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
7p — 11p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
12a — 4a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 5p

Perry County:

3p — 7p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
8p — 12a – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
1a — 5a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 6p

Greene County:

4p — 8p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
9p — 1a – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
2a — 6a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 7p

HWY 26 Corridor

Pearl River County:

12p — 4p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
5p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
10p — 2a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 3p

Stone County:

1p — 5p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
6p — 10p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
11p — 3a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 4p

George County:

2p — 6p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.
7p — 11p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 60mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and a brief and weak tornado. Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 1-3 inches.
12a — 4a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:
– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– With a lot of lightning expected, make sure to be inside
– Tree limbs may come down with some power outages possible
– A Severe Thunderstorm or Tornado Watch is possible, if so, it would be issued before 3p
– Not everyone will see *severe* weather, but a few spots will

Best to be where you want to be by 5p



Author of the article:


Nick Lilja

Nick is former television meteorologist with stints in Amarillo and Hattiesburg. During his time in Hattiesburg, he was also an adjunct professor at the University of Southern Mississippi. He is a graduate of both Oregon State and Syracuse University that now calls Houston home. Now that he is retired from TV, he maintains this blog in his spare time.