August 2023 Monthly Outlook

As we’re approaching August in the next couple of days, I figured it would be good to see what we’ll expect for the latter (more like middle for us) part of Summer.

Temperatures

Temperatures and heat are not going anywhere to say the least. With highs in the upper 90s and heat indices in the mid-100s to low 110s, this is going to remain for at least the next couple of weeks. Temperatures are above average and due to the strong ridge that is going to remain over most of the southern US for most of the month. A series of longwave troughs will move over the Plains and the Northeast, however, these will be hard to reach the southern US because of the strongly anomalous high pressure.

Hazard Outlook from the CPC showing Excessive Heat possible by the end of next week. //Courtesy: CPC
500mb Height Anomaly from the CPS Model //Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

A possible bit of good news is that near the end of the month, the ridge looks to weaken but still hang around. This doesn’t seem to have too much of an effect on the temperatures as the surface looks to be at a standstill with a strong surface ridge.

Precipitation

Precipitation Outlook for the next 6-10 days //Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

In the medium term, Mississippi will see a slight chance of more precipitation in the next week or so. Going by yesterday’s forecast, the cold front I mentioned arriving around the weekend will be the main reason for the above average precipitation. With a few rounds of storms hitting in the afternoon/evening for a few nights as the cold front passes, it will bring in more rain than usual for this time of year. Going by the drought monitor, it will likely keep us near the average for August with some extra rain possible especially closer to the coast.

Overall, August is going to be quite hot and a slight bit rainy starting out. And it looks like it’s not going to change much if at all except for a few days where a cold front may dip far down enough. As I say this, be sure to stay cool, drink plenty of water and electrolytes, and keep others around you cooled off when you can.


Select Data Set:

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Regional Day-to-Day Forecast

This Afternoon – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Heat index values as high as 106. Northwest wind around 5 mph.

Tonight – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after sunset. Cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 75. North wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Monday – A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Sunny and hot, with a high near 97. Heat index values as high as 106. Calm wind becoming north around 5 mph in the morning.

Monday Night – Partly cloudy, with a low around 75. North northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Tuesday – Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming northeast around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night – Partly cloudy, with a low around 77. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.

Wednesday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mostly sunny and hot, with a high near 99. Calm wind becoming north northwest around 5 mph.

Wednesday Night – A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the early evening. Partly cloudy, with a low around 76. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

Thursday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Sunny and hot, with a high near 98. Calm wind becoming south southwest around 5 mph in the afternoon.

Thursday Night – Partly cloudy, with a low around 77.

Friday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny and hot, with a high near 99.

Friday Night – A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 78.

Saturday – A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny and hot, with a high near 99.



Author of the article:


Noah Gower

Meteorologist residing in Hattiesburg, MS. Loves skateboarding, bass guitar/music, and a good motorcycle ride. Currently working as an AV Tech.