While we continue to monitor Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine (eventually to be named Helene), thigns around here are going to be pretty nice – at least for a few days.
The latest on PTC Nine from the National Hurricane Center shows it snaking northward in the coming days and making landfall somewhere along the Florida coastline late Thursday night or early Friday morning.
BIG CAVEAT: This system has not fully formed a center yet. Visible Satellite today supports a low-level center near the X on the map above, but until there is a definitive answer, we can’t say – for certain – where the center will eventually take over. Once we get a center, then the model guidance will become much more accurate and the forecast will become a bit more straightforward.
Back locally, a shift is expected as a frontal boundary approaches, along with a potential tropical system moving into the Gulf. This could lead to wetter conditions, with below-average temperatures (highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s, lows in the 60s). A better shot for rain for the area, too.
Often, when we are on the west side of thee systems, we talk about things drying out. But I think this time, due to a cut-off low descending into the region, we may have a slightly better shot for rain hanging around for a few days.
That said, if we can sneak in under the trough and wrap in some drier air, we could sneak out some drier days as opposed to wet ones.
REGIONAL DAY TO DAY FORECASY
Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening, becoming light and variable.
Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Northwest winds around 5 mph, becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Lows around 70. South winds around 5 mph in the evening, becoming light and variable. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. A chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 80s. East winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Wednesday Night: Showers likely. Thunderstorms likely, mainly in the evening. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Thursday: Mostly cloudy in the morning. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Highs around 80. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Friday: Mostly sunny with a 20 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 80s.
Friday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.
Saturday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.
Sunday: Sunny. A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
When do you look for a center to develop?