After a reaosnably active weather pattern the last few days, things have really calmed down – and should stay calm through next week.
Our next system arrives late Friday night and should slide through with little consequence. Some rain, thunder and gusty wind look to be the roughest of the weather. And all of this should happen with little to no severe weather threat.
Even the rainfall totals look meager. This will help give us a chance to dry out a bit. And as the plants start to wake back up for Spring, it will get them a chance to soak up some sunshine, too.
As we look past next Thursday, though, it does look like the system for next weekend may pack a bit more of a punch.
Looking at the Top 100 analogs, nearly 40-50 of the most similar situations include the potential for severe weather across much of the region. The data suggest the tornado threat may be a bit more limited with this next go-around, though. So it may be more of a wind/hail event than a tornado event.
And recall that March is – sort of – out hail season. So, seeing a risk for hail in the forecast in late February isn’t all too surprising.
REGIONAL DAY TO DAY FORECAST
Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds around 5 mph in the evening, becoming light and variable.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph.
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds around 5 mph in the evening, becoming light and variable.
Thursday: Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Friday: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Saturday: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 50s.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Cooler with lows in the mid 30s.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.
Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s.
Washingtons Birthday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
