I can hear some of you now: “Oh boy. Here Nick goes again!” Guilty as charged! I went down a bit of a rabbit hole this morning trying to shake out some of the Christmas…
Category: Climate
National Forecast for 7/21/24: Hot in the West, monsoonal moisture in the Southern Rockies, and Shaharen dust for Florida
Happy Sunday, I hope that your weekend is going well. We have quite a lot to talk about for this forecast, so let’s get into it. Looking out west, we have an extremely strong upper-level…
Second research project: how weather models can improve upslope snowfall forecasting
Hello there; thanks for taking the time to read this research. This is my second piece of research for the summer, and I have decided to switch things up from my last research paper. This…
Read more of Second research project: how weather models can improve upslope snowfall forecasting
Tropical Outlook for 6/28/24: Three areas of disturbances to watch out for
Even though it’s only June, we currently have 3 areas of disturbances in the Atlantic basin. The first disturbance area is located in the western part of the Gulf of Mexico and has a 30%…
Read more of Tropical Outlook for 6/28/24: Three areas of disturbances to watch out for
Worst drought for Southern MS/AL/LA since Sept 2000, with some improvement possible as we close out 2023
If you’ve been saying, “Man, it’s dry!” you’d be right. Looking back through the archives of the Drought Monitor, this is the worst drought for the region since September of 2000. By coincidence, that was…
Severe thunderstorms tonight in southern Kansas before summer is in full swing for all: Kansas Agriculture Forecast – 6/27/2023
Greetings! Hi everybody! My name is Kaden Schroeder and I am excited to debut agriculture forecasts once a week for central/eastern Kansas. Special thanks goes to Nick Lilja for giving me the opportunity to do…
NickelBlock Forecasting 2023 Hurricane Season Outlook: Analogs suggest up to 6 tropical systems in the Gulf this Hurricane Season
I’m sure that got your attention. But six topical systems in the Gulf is pretty typical. On the average, since 2000, we’ve seen between 4 and 6 tropical systems (that includes tropical depressions) in the…
Flooding continues as transcontinental front stays stalled, Texas continues to dry up as its neighbors see most of the rain, and heatwave expected for Midwest next week: CONUS Forecast – 7/30/22
I would like to start off this post by saying my heart goes out to my home state of Kentucky where its eastern residents have been impacted by a major flooding event which has claimed…
Severe Weather Expected Again Along with Returning Heat: CONUS Weather Forecast – 7/7/22
Summertime patterns are in full swing for the Continental U.S. (CONUS) will high temperatures and plenty of thunderstorms and rain to go around. Currently, we have been seeing rounds of severe weather in the upper-plains…
Eastern US will see storms and drought-busting rainfall as the western and central US heat up: CONUS Weather Forecast – 7/6/22
For the last several weeks, the typical pattern has been a heatwave-inducing ridge in the Southeast while the Northwest has seen a trough delivering cool, wet weather. However, this pattern is shifting as the dominant…
