Not all weather records are created equal

Truth is, I knew this. But, at times, I get lulled into a false sense of National-Weather-Service-security. The NWS has created quite the reputation of being pretty dependable over the past 15 years. Sometimes it…

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Why bogus forecasts sweep through social media

Another “phony bologna” forecast is circulating around social media. This isn’t a surprise. Social “mediarologists” are popping up all over the place. It seems like every time one gets called out, another two arrive. With…

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Works Cited: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

Gulf of Alaska sea surface temperatures – Here Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperatures – Here ENSO sea surface temperatures – Here Texas and Oklahoma panhandle tornado data – Here Texas and Oklahoma panhandle historical…

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Correlation found between SST, rainfall and TX/OK panhandle tornadoes

I’ve completed my study of the last 20 or so years of tornadoes across the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles. I’ve made a few interesting discoveries. You can read about those discoveries here. While more research…

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Introduction: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

The landscape of the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles isn’t considered dynamic, but the atmosphere above it can be. Each spring forecasters attempt to predict the chances for severe weather and try to determine where that…

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Methods: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

Using the database of information offered by the National Weather Service (NWS) in Amarillo, Texas, the number of tornado reports and tornado days was established. From there, the number of “Spring” tornadoes was established removing…

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Findings: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

There was a correlation between the weighted totals of the standard deviations from the mean of the anomalies of GoA SST, GoM SST, Previous Precipitation, ENSO SST when compared against the total number of tornadoes…

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Conclusion: How multiple variables control TX/OK panhandle Spring severe weather

There is a lot about forecasting severe weather season across the Texas and Oklahoma panhandle that is controlled regionally and even locally. This statistical analysis does not take that into account. There are too many…

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