Model guidance update: Brief window for extra increased tornado threat may develop overnight for south Mississippi

Not exactly the news anyone wants to hear. But some of the shorter-range model guidance is suggesting that the showers and storms developing across parts of Alabama and the Florida panhandle may set the stage…

Read more of Model guidance update: Brief window for extra increased tornado threat may develop overnight for south Mississippi

Moderate Risk now issued for sections of South Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center has up’d the Risk level to a Moderate Risk for section of the South for late Friday and into Saturday morning. This is a “4” on the 1-to-5 scale where “5”…

Read more of Moderate Risk now issued for sections of South Mississippi

SPC expands severe risk for Friday & Saturday across South

The Storm Prediction Center continues to monitor a two-punch system on Friday afternoon, evening and into the overnight hours across parts of Texas, Louisiana, Arkansas, Mississippi, and Alabama. As of now, this two-punch system looks…

Read more of SPC expands severe risk for Friday & Saturday across South

Severe threat for south Mississippi remains low Wednesday night, but not zero

As the setup continues to evolve a few things have shaken out to reduce the overall threat for severe weather tonight across south Mississippi. Though, the threat will not fall to zero. And while the…

Read more of Severe threat for south Mississippi remains low Wednesday night, but not zero

Gulf Coast severe threat increases slightly for Weds/Thurs

Not much has changed with the severe weather threat for late Wednesday and into Thursday morning for the Gulf Coast. But the few pieces of the puzzle that have changed, do increase the potential for…

Read more of Gulf Coast severe threat increases slightly for Weds/Thurs

Severe weather possible, not likely, for Gulf Coast Wed/Thur

So far, model guidance continues to show a cold front trying to push south through the region on Wednesday night and into Thursday morning. While the threat for severe weather persists north of I-20, it…

Read more of Severe weather possible, not likely, for Gulf Coast Wed/Thur

SPC issues High Risk for section of Southeast with strongly-worded warning

Another week. Another High Risk from the SPC. This is going to be another dangerous day across parts of the Southeast. Even ‘Stefon’ from SNL is paying attention The “HOD’S” (hodographs) and “CAPES” (instability) are…

Read more of SPC issues High Risk for section of Southeast with strongly-worded warning

3/24 Update regarding Thursday’s severe weather threat for south Mississippi

The SPC has released the midday update on the risk levels for Thursday. No big changes. But there is still a risk for severe weather across parts of the southeast. This post will highlight some…

Read more of 3/24 Update regarding Thursday’s severe weather threat for south Mississippi

Thursday’s peak severe weather threat for southeast shifting northward, though Gulf Coast not ‘in the clear’

Long title, but hopefully it conveys the truth – and not the hype. Right now it looks like the latest data continues to trend northward with the most significant threat for severe weather. That means…

Read more of Thursday’s peak severe weather threat for southeast shifting northward, though Gulf Coast not ‘in the clear’

Attention turns to Thursday’s (3/25) severe weather threat

It looks like the potential for widespread significant severe weather is – again – in the cards this Thursday for portions of the Southeast and gulf coast. Model guidance continues to show a large area…

Read more of Attention turns to Thursday’s (3/25) severe weather threat