National Hurricane Center increases chance of development to 50-percent

The National Hurricane Center released its 2PM update. Not a big change, but a slight up-tick in the chance for development. From the NHC: Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM…

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NHC increases chance of development in the Gulf

This morning the National Hurricane Center increased the chance of tropical development in the Gulf to 40-percent during the next five days. Right now, model guidance is still pointing to the Wednesday night through Saturday…

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National Hurricane Center highlights new area of concern

SUNDAY MORNING UPDATE: NHC has increased the chance there is tropical development. For the latest info: http://nickelblock.com/?p=30450 ORIGINAL POST FROM SATURDAY: The National Hurricane center has highlighted an area that will need to be monitored…

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Hype-free look at Gulf Coast tropical activity for next week

Well, that didn’t take long did it? After a handful of models starting to come into agreement that something may develop off the east coast or in the Gulf, the scare-tactic posts have begun. In…

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As MJO passes, Atlantic basin could become more favorable for development in July

I don’t often get onto sub-seasonal oscillations on here for a handful of reasons… 1. I don’t know as much as I wished I did about them 2. In general, it doesn’t apply to everyday…

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This Forecast Brought to You by Amber and Noah Losing Our Minds at a Blob of Rain

So as Amber and I are looking at several different models for Wednesday’s chance of rain, we notice an enclosed high pressure system forming out near the lower Mississippi River. We’re both thinking “Why is…

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