1/19/25 9p Winter Precip County-by-County Forecast for Southern MS/AL/LA

We continue to see subtle shifts to the forecast. Notice how in the animations below the trend is for the center of the low to move south (first image on left) and the drier air…

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1/18/25 10p Wintry Weather Update: A regional breakdown of the timeline and impacts

Well! The last 24 hours has been quite the ride as the model guidance continues to funnel in. So far we have see a bit of a move south with the colder air, a bit…

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1/16/25 6p — A brief snowfall forecast update

Behold! THE ELBOW! The “Elbow” is the right-angle in the 500mb map over west Texas that often times produces a shot for wintry precip across the region. It is the setup we get down here…

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Whoops! Let’s get this fixed…. A snow/ice/rain forecast for Friday

Whilst doing the forecast yesterday, I was pulled away halfway through. My “9-to-5” weather job needed me to produce some data quickly So I did. Then when I came back to our forecast I realized…

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Colder with precip on the way, snow unlikely, freezing rain possible: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast – 1/6/25

It’ll be a pretty chilly night tonight as overnight lows bottom out in the upper 20s across the area. Some folks may even squeeze down into the mid 20s in the low-lying areas. This is…

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Answering “Why aren’t you talking about this, Nick?!” and other questions about the chance for snow

Depending on who you are and what your threshold for weather-related interruption is I know it can feel exciting – or scary – to hear about the chance for snow and colder temperatures. For what…

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12/28/24 830a Severe Weather Update – Severe weather possible today, with some failure modes

I want to start off by saying: Today is not a slam dunk event. A lot of folks are posting about a severe weather outbreak, mega tornado outbreak, super extreme severe weather apocolypsemaggedon of doom.…

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About 50x more likely to see a tornado tomorrow than a typical day

I bet that got your attention. That is the message from the SPC. Looking at the maps, typically we have a 0.20% risk for a tornado on December 28th. And tomorrow the forecast calls for…

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Here we snow again: A quick update on the snowmaggedon posts across social media

“Meteorologist’s low, Weather Date one-two-two-seven point two-zero-two-four….” I’ve received a lot of questions about the chance for snow along the Gulf Coast during the next few weeks given a shot for cold. The short answer…

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12/26/24 6p Update: Severe weather possible Saturday for the region, tornadoes a concern

Last night we had a pretty stout system swing through the Pacific Northwest that produced wind gusts up to 60mph at times (not from thunderstorms, just the regular wind), and knocked down trees and power…

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