Moderate Risk: Easter Sunday severe threat for the Gulf Coast

As a system passes through the region, it will open the door for showers, storms and the potential for severe weather. Come to think of it, I say this in almost every post. But this…

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Easter Sunday severe threat for Southeast

At least we will all be at home, already. In fact, now may be a good time to review your severe weather safety plan. The “Where would you go? What would you do?” if a…

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Quick look at low-end severe threat for South Mississippi Tuesday

All model guidance seems to be in agreement that the severe threat for south Mississippi will remain on the “low end” of things on Tuesday. A combination of good timing and a lack of low-level…

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South Mississippi severe threat Tuesday looks low-end, but not zero

Some good news to pass along this morning: The severe threat we have been monitoring for the past week, regarding this next Monday through Wednesday, is looking like more of a low-end threat based on…

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Southeast faces severe weather threat next Tuesday / Wednesday

As if one this virus wasn’t enough, Mother Nature looked at the Calendar and remembered that it is still Spring. Looking at the latest data, there is still a chance for severe weather across parts…

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WPC concerned about flash flooding risk for parts of South Mississippi

From the Weather Prediction Center: Mesoscale Precipitation Discussion 0068 NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 316 PM EST Wed Mar 04 2020 Areas affected…southern MS into central/southern AL/GA Concerning…Heavy rainfall…Flash flooding likely Valid 042014Z…

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3/4/20 1130AM UPDATE: Severe Thunderstorm Watch possibly extended into south Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued a Mesoscale Discussion regarding extending the current Severe Thunderstorm Watch, currently in parts of Texas and Louisiana, into Mississippi. Here is a look at the current Radar/Satellite imagery: As of…

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SPC issues Mesoscale Discussion regarding severe threat for Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama

The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Mesoscale Discussion suggesting there is a 95% chance the are will be put under a Watch – Tornado or Severe Thunderstorm, there isn’t any indication at this point.…

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WPC monitoring flash flooding risk for Louisiana, Mississippi

The Weather Prediction Center issued a Mesoscale Discussion that includes parts of Louisiana and Mississippi highlighting a chance for up to four inches of rain during the next few hours. From the WPC: Surface observations…

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3/3/20 11PM UPDATE: Severe weather threat increasing overnight

The last few runs of the HRRR computer weather model, coupled with the 00z HRW- suite of models, and the 00z NAM-3km computer weather model have me a bit more concerned with the threat for…

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