Atlantic lull, active East Pacific as Hurricane Bonnie moves away from land: Tropical Update – 7/5/22

Now that Tropical Storm Bonnie has entered the Eastern Pacific and Tropical Storm Colin has dissipated, the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, and Atlantic are currently quiet in terms of tropical activity. This lull in…

Read more of Atlantic lull, active East Pacific as Hurricane Bonnie moves away from land: Tropical Update – 7/5/22

Tropical Storm Bonnie Heads Over Nicaragua while Invest 96L Brings Heavy Rain to Atlantic Coast: Tropical Update – 7/2/22

The main feature in the tropics, Tropical Storm Bonnie, is heading towards the Pacific while the rest of the Atlantic is mostly quiet for now. Invest 95L off of the Gulf Coast moved inland. It…

Read more of Tropical Storm Bonnie Heads Over Nicaragua while Invest 96L Brings Heavy Rain to Atlantic Coast: Tropical Update – 7/2/22

Tropical Storm Colin impacting NC and SC coast, small chance of new development in Caribbean: Tropical Update – 7/3/22

The water vapor imagery shows three notable systems in place. One is tropical storm Bonnie, which crossed Central America and is now headed out into the Pacific. It may regenerate strength and possibly even become…

Read more of Tropical Storm Colin impacting NC and SC coast, small chance of new development in Caribbean: Tropical Update – 7/3/22

After an active week in the tropics, the future looks quieter: Tropical Outlook/Discussion – 7/1/22

At this time of year in 2021, the North Atlantic was at five named tropical cyclones while, in 2020, the North Atlantic had already produced four named tropical cyclones. Comparing these two hyperactive seasons with…

Read more of After an active week in the tropics, the future looks quieter: Tropical Outlook/Discussion – 7/1/22

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two expected to become tropical storm in Caribbean, tropical depression possible off Texas coast: Tropical Update – 6/30/22

When looking at this image, there are three notable systems to take into consideration. The most notable one, Potential Tropical Cyclone Two, is just to the north of Venezuela. This system is expected to become…

Read more of Potential Tropical Cyclone Two expected to become tropical storm in Caribbean, tropical depression possible off Texas coast: Tropical Update – 6/30/22

Tropics Still Active as June Comes to a Close: Tropical Update – 6/29/22

As we end June and go into July, the areas that we look towards for tropical development begin to expand. In addition to the Gulf of Mexico and off the coast of the Carolinas, tropical…

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The Atlantic Hurricane Season is active with 3 tropical disturbances and a busy African Easterly Wave train: Tropical Outlook/Discussion – 6/28/22

The Atlantic Basin is heating up as the NHC is assessing 3 tropical disturbances with the potential to organize into tropical systems. While the first disturbance, currently named Potential Tropical Cyclone 2 (PTC 2), is…

Read more of The Atlantic Hurricane Season is active with 3 tropical disturbances and a busy African Easterly Wave train: Tropical Outlook/Discussion – 6/28/22

Temperate conditions for now, but active weather on the horizon for next week: CONUS Weather Forecast – 6/28/22

A relatively zonal pattern across the CONUS will lead to more or less seasonal weather, with no huge swings or variations in the next few days. Looking at the short term 500 mb map, most…

Read more of Temperate conditions for now, but active weather on the horizon for next week: CONUS Weather Forecast – 6/28/22

6/27/22 430p Update: NHC tabs Invest 94L as Potential Tropical Cyclone Two

The National Hurricane Center has tagged the open wave in the Atlantic a “Potential Tropical Cyclone 2” which allows the NHC to issue watches / warnings on the system even though it isn’t an organized…

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6/26/22 345p Tropical Update: From the blob in the Gulf to Invest 94L and what is means for the Southern MS/AL/LA region

As far as the blob in the Gulf… Texas and Louisiana? Likely rain. Mississippi and Alabama? Probably not as much rain. Florida? Almost nothing. For Invest 94L it is probably a bit too early to…

Read more of 6/26/22 345p Tropical Update: From the blob in the Gulf to Invest 94L and what is means for the Southern MS/AL/LA region