8/27/21 10PM Hurricane Ida update: forecast details and discussion – exploring the ifs and maybes of the forecast

This isn’t going to be the typical “will it rain at my house” forecast. If you’re looking for a county-by-county breakdown of what to expect from Hurricane Ida, make sure to check out that post…

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8/27/21 7PM Hurricane Ida update – a county-by-county breakdown for parts of Louisiana, Mississippi, and Alabama

Let me start by saying that this forecast may change. And is not set in stone. I really encourage everyone to check back every – at least! – 12 hours for an update until landfall…

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A message to everyone from those who survived Katrina

A few days before the 15 year anniversary of Hurricane Katrina’s landfall, I asked people who lived through Hurricane Katrina to give their best piece of advice to their past self – or others –…

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8/26/21 Tropical Update: Tropical Depression 9 and what it means for the Gulf Coast

SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT LOCATION…16.9N 79.2WABOUT 115 MI…180 KM SSW OF NEGRIL JAMAICAABOUT 210 MI…340 KM SE OF GRAND CAYMANMAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35 MPH…55 KM/HPRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH…20 KM/HMINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1005…

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8/25/21 Invest 99L forecast/model update

The National Hurricane Center designated the little area of disorganized storms in the Caribbean as Invest 99L. That allows the NHC to start running specialized tropical forecast models on the system. There is still a…

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Tropical Storm Fred Pt. 2 – It is back, and it is kidney bean shaped

A few things happened overnight with Fred. Frist off, Fred is a Tropical Strom again. And it is headed toward the Florida panhandle. Again. The center of Fred reformed under an explosion of convection well…

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8/14/21: Fred ain’t dead yet – Mississippi/Alabama in the Forecast Cone

The Tropical Storm formerly known as Fred couldn’t have taken a more difficult path to the Gulf of Mexico. After waltzing through the Caribbean like Sideshow Bob moves through a field of rakes, it decided…

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