A new area of interest in the tropics: A hype-free forecast

The National Hurricane Center has updated their forecast to include an area of interest in the Gulf of Mexico. The NHC also gives this area a 20-percent chance of development. The National Hurricane Center Forecast…

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An economists statistical rebuttal to seasonal hurricane forecasts

I received an email the other day from Ty Black, a former University of Southern Mississippi professor in Economics, regarding seasonal hurricane predictions. On the heels of the Colorado State seasonal prediction, national media outlets…

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WMO retires names Harvey, Irma, Maria and Nate

The World Meteorological Organization decided to retire four names from the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Three of the names probably make perfect sense, but the fourth might seem like a bit of a mystery. Harvey,…

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Hurricane Nate still moving – quickly – across Gulf toward Mississippi, Alabama

10:00 AM UPDATE: Nate now a strong Category 1 hurricane. 9:30 AM ORIGINAL: Hurricane Nate continues to cruise – at speeds around 20mph – to the north across the Gulf of Mexico. It seems to…

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Hurricane Nate gaining strength, track leaning east

The 10pm update was release by the National Hurricane Center showed “Tropical Storm Nate” with wind at 70mph. Twenty-five minutes later… It isn’t surprising though based on satellite trends, between 8pm and 10pm the area…

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1AM UPDATE: Overnight Tropical Storm Nate data and details

As of 12:15am Central Time, Tropical Storm Nate is back over the open waters of the Caribbean Sea. Water temperatures in the area are running between 82 and 87 degrees. The warm waters and the…

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