6/3/24 – Tropical Outlook: Above-average Hurricane season still likely

Well, it’s June… where are the tropical systems? Just because Hurricane season isn’t necessarily starting on time, doesn’t mean we will have a quiet year. NOAA is still projecting an active Hurricane season for the…

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2024 NickelBlock Forecasting Atlantic / Gulf Coast Hurricane Season Outlook

I won’t bury the lede here: It is looking like an active Hurricane Season is in the cards for the summer of 2024. Here is a look at the outlook for the entire Atlantic Basin…

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Multiple severe threats this weekend with all severe hazards possible, tropical storm likely to impact East Coast this weekend, hot temperatures in Texas continue as rest of the country sees fall temperatures: CONUS Forecast – 9/21/2023

Looking to the weekend, we have a few potential severe weather events to keep an eye on. On Friday, a severe threat is forecast across much of the northern Plains, particularly in Nebraska and South…

Read more of Multiple severe threats this weekend with all severe hazards possible, tropical storm likely to impact East Coast this weekend, hot temperatures in Texas continue as rest of the country sees fall temperatures: CONUS Forecast – 9/21/2023

Hurricane Lee to make landfall this weekend, fall temperatures being felt across much of the US, possible severe threat across SW Great Plains Friday

As we head into the weekend, the most pressing weather concern is Hurricane Lee. Hurricane Lee is currently forecast to make landfall sometime on Saturday. Current models indicate it is likely to make landfall in…

Read more of Hurricane Lee to make landfall this weekend, fall temperatures being felt across much of the US, possible severe threat across SW Great Plains Friday

Hurricane Idalia to impact Florida, Cooldown over much of US, Marginal severe threat over part of NW CONUS Tuesday: CONUS Forecast – 8/28/23

As we look ahead to the next few days, the most immediate weather concern over the CONUS is Hurricane Idalia. The hurricane is currently expected to make landfall sometime on Wednesday (most of the models…

Read more of Hurricane Idalia to impact Florida, Cooldown over much of US, Marginal severe threat over part of NW CONUS Tuesday: CONUS Forecast – 8/28/23

8/26/23 10PM Tropical Update – A no hype look at Tropical Depression 10, what it means for the Gulf Coast, and some potential changes that may occur

The evening model data is starting to trickle in for Tropical Depression 10. And while the official forecast from the NHC is mostly unchanged, there are some places that I think will change in the…

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8/26/23 10a Tropical Update – Invest 93L still bubbling near Yucatan

Invest 93L had a bit of a ‘glow up’ (as the kids would say) overnight. Looking much healthier this morning than when you went to bed last night. Overnight latent heat release is one reason,…

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Hurricane Hilary Updates and the Atlantic Awakens: Tropical Update – 8/19/2023

Hurricane Hilary is nearing landfall on the Baja California coast and is likely to bring damaging winds and heavy rain to the peninsula and southern California. The path of Hilary will be something to watch.…

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