Through Wednesday morning, high pressure dominates the region, maintaining calm conditions with cold air lingering behind last night’s front. Overnight lows will drop to around 32F for most folks inland and into the 20s for spots near and north of I-20.
Closer to the water, temperatures will only drop into the mid 30s.
Daytime highs on Wednesday will briefly rebound into the upper 50s and low 60s as southerly flow returns. By Wednesday night, a low-pressure system near Brownsville will begin moving along the Gulf Coast, increasing rain chances across the area.
Rainfall will persist into Thursday before being swept out by another cold front, ushering in cold, dry polar air. Temperatures will drop into the 20s Thursday night, and Friday’s highs will struggle to exceed 50F.
Chilly stuff!
Looking ahead, guidance diverges on the next round of rain, with some suggesting early rain Saturday, but the consensus points to Sunday-Monday as the main event. Heavy rainfall is possible, with totals of 2-3 inches or more, though weak instability may limit storm activity. While a flood threat exists, its severity depends on how quickly rain accumulates. Expect forecast adjustments as details evolve.
REGIONAL DAY TO DAY FORECAST
Tonight: Clear. Areas of frost in the evening, then widespread frost after midnight. Cold with lows in the lower 30s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
Wednesday: Widespread frost in the morning. Mostly sunny. Not as cool with highs in the mid 60s. East winds around 5 mph, becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Not as cool. Near steady temperature in the mid 50s. South winds around 5 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Thursday: Cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning. Highs in the lower 60s. Temperature falling into the mid 50s in the afternoon. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent.
Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy. Much cooler with lows in the lower 30s.
Friday: Mostly sunny. Cooler with highs in the lower 50s.
Friday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Saturday: Partly sunny. A slight chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Not as cool with highs in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of showers. Not as cool with lows in the upper 40s.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of thunderstorms. A slight chance of showers in the morning, then a chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs around 70. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Sunday Night: Cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then a chance of showers with a slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Not as cool. Near steady temperature in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Monday: A slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning. Showers likely. Highs in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 70 percent.