9/9/24 815p — County-by-County breakdown for Tropical Storm Francine for SE Louisiana, Southern Mississippi, and SW Alabama

The latest from the NHC shows that Tropical Storm Francine is still floating around the southwestern Gulf and has not started to move northeast quite yet. The forecast from the NHC shows the Tropical Storm strengthening into a Hurricane – a Category 2 Hurricane – before landfall.

Landfall is expect to happen on Wednesday.

The timeline on the arrival of Tropical Storm-force wind is shown in the graphic below.

Looking at local impacts. I have it broken down into three Zones.

Zone 1: Highest sustained wind speeds and highest wind gusts, highest tornado threat, and some of the heaviest rain with highest totals — up to 9″ of rain.
Zone 2: Still strong wind with sustained wind speeds Tropical Storm strength, Wind gusts up to 70mph, tornado threat with Tornado Watch likely, rainfall totals between 4-7 inches.
Zone 3: Sustained wind speeds not damaging, but wind gusts strong enough to cause damage under strongest rainbands and storms, tornado threat with Tornado Watch Possible, rainfall totals between 2-5 inches.



Below is the county-by-county breakdown. This is the first one. So there will likely be changes tomorrow night. So please take this for now, but check back for an update.

Along I-20

Rankin County:

8a — 12p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11a

Scott County:

8a — 12p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11a

Newton County:

8a — 12p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11a

Lauderdale County:

8a — 12p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 60mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11a



Near I-20

Copiah County:

8a — 12p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 11a

Simpson County:

8a — 12p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 11a

Smith County:

8a — 12p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11a

Jasper County:

8a — 12p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11a

Clarke County:

8a — 12p – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

12p — 9p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 60mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

9p — 1a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 11a



HWY 84 Corridor

Lincoln County:

8a — 11a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11a — 8p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

8p — 12a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 10a

Lawrence County:

8a — 11a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11a — 8p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

8p — 12a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 10a

Jeff Davis County:

8a — 11a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11a — 8p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

8p — 12a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 10a

Covington County:

8a — 11a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11a — 8p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

8p — 12a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 10a

Jones County:

8a — 11a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11a — 8p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

8p — 12a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 10a

Wayne County:

8a — 11a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11a — 8p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

8p — 12a – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 10a



HWY 98 Corridor

Pike County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9a

Walthall County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9a

Marion County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9a

Lamar County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9a

Forrest County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9a

Perry County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 9a

Greene County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 9a



HWY 26 Corridor

Pearl River County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9a

Stone County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 70mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 9a

George County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 9a



MISSISSIPPI COAST

Hancock County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9a

Harrison County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 9a

Jackson County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 6p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 75mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

6p — 10p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 9a



LOUISIANA PARISHES

Saint Helena Parish

5a — 9a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

9a — 5p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 80mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

5p — 9p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 8a

Livingston Parish

5a — 9a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

9a — 5p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 80mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

5p — 9p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 8a

Tangipahoa Parish

5a — 9a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

9a — 5p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 80mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

5p — 9p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 8a

Washington Parish

5a — 9a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

9a — 5p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 80mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

5p — 9p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 8a

Saint Tammany Parish

5a — 9a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

9a — 5p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 80mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

5p — 9p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 8a

Orleans Parish

5a — 9a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

9a — 5p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 85mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

5p — 9p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is likely

Best to be where you want to be by 8a



ALABAMA COUNTIES

Choctaw County:

6a — 11a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

11a — 8p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 55mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

8p — 11p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 10a

Washington County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 7p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 60mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

7p — 11p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 9a

Mobile County:

6a — 10a – As things get started, a few isolated storms are possible. A few may be severe. The main concerns are brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

10a — 7p – There is a chance for showers and storms. Some severe. the main concerns are heavy rain, wind gusts up to 65mph, and a few tornadoes (up to EF2 in strength). Rainfall totals are estimated to be around 4-7 inches.

7p — 11p – All Clear! Though, there is a chance for some lingering brief heavy rain, some lightning, gusty wind, small hail. Rainfall totals up to 1 inch possible.

How it will impact you:

– Roads may be briefly impassable due to short-term flash flooding
– Trees may be knocked down, and scattered power outages are likely
– A Tornado Watch is possible

Best to be where you want to be by 9a



Author of the article:


Nick Lilja

Nick is former television meteorologist with stints in Amarillo and Hattiesburg. During his time in Hattiesburg, he was also an adjunct professor at the University of Southern Mississippi. He is a graduate of both Oregon State and Syracuse University that now calls Houston home. Now that he is retired from TV, he maintains this blog in his spare time.

One thought on “9/9/24 815p — County-by-County breakdown for Tropical Storm Francine for SE Louisiana, Southern Mississippi, and SW Alabama

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *