The Storm Prediction Center has the majority of the Deep South under a Slight (2 out of 5) risk for severe weather on Sunday. A low pressure system from the surface will be moving through the Southwest and tagging along with the low in the Great lakes to bring us some rain and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.
So far our main threat is hail and wind. If you look at the graph to the left on the Skew-T above, you may notice a gap between the red and green lines between the 700mb and 500mb mark. Other models are showing a slightly larger gap, but the point is that the dry slot combined with the amount of instability means that hail is possible with the line of storms moving in on Sunday evening. Straightline winds may also be a factor, however the front looks to be lagging behind that the threat of straightline winds looks limited to the North of us. Overall, expect rain and thunderstorms from the afternoon into the nighttime with possible hail.
Next Week
After the cold front moves in overnight into Monday, we’ll see much cooler temperatures than the past few weeks have been. An average of 60’s and 70’s for our highs until the next front moves in around Friday. Overall, a fairly pleasant but windy week.
Regional Day-to-Day Forecast
Today – Partly sunny, with a high near 77. Winds East Southeast at 5 to 10 mph shifting south in the afternoon.
Tonight – Mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Winds South around 10 mph.
Sunday – Showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon with a slight chance of severe weather in the evening. High near 80. South southwest winds at 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest in the afternoon. Wind gusts as high as 25 mph. Rainfall between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Sunday Night – Showers and thunderstorms into the late evening. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. Winds North around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Monday – Mixed clouds and sun, with a high near 65. Winds around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Monday Night – Partly cloudy, with a low around 40. Winds North Northeast at 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday – Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. Winds North Northeast at 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday Night – Partly cloudy, with a low around 39. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday – Sunny, with a high near 69. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Wednesday Night – Clear, with a low around 45. Winds Southeast at 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday – Sunny, with a high near 77. Winds South at 5 to 10 mph.
Thursday Night – Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Winds South Southeast at 5 to 10 mph.
Friday – Rain and thunderstorms possible. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. Winds South at 10 to 15 mph.
