Dry weather to the south and wet to the north, with summertime heat also to continue: Southeast Weather Forecast-7/28/22

Hello all and happy Thursday! For today’s three day outlook in the southeast’s weather, we will take a look at some more heat (no surprise there) for the region as well as the chance for heavier rainfall and flooding potential across northern portions of the region.

For the day today, expect temperatures in the upper 80’s to the 90s in the eastern portions, with temperatures closer to 100 across Texas.

NWS blend of models high temperatures for Thursday // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather
NWS blend of models high temperatures for Thursday // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

With dewpoints across much of the southeast into the 70s thanks to the consistent southerly flow, expect heat indices across the region into the upper 90s to low 100s. Due to this, it is important to monitor your local NWS office for any heat related warnings and advisories.

In terms of precipitation, we have a frontal boundary that is placed just to the north of our region. This has the potential to bring heavier rain to portions of Tennessee and Arkansas as the forcing from the frontal boundary assists with heavier rainfall amounts. The WPC has outlined this potential for the day today.

WPC surface fronts and precipitation outlook for Thursday // Courtesy: wpc.ncep.noaa.gov


Friday

For the day on Friday, expect temperatures to remain a touch cooler, into the lower to mid 90s across much of the southeast. On this map, you can also make out the area of the front, where temperatures are in the 70s and 80s compared to the mid 90s further to the south.

NWS blend of models high temperatures for Friday // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather
NWS blend of models high temperatures for Friday // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

For precipitation on Friday, the aforementioned front will still be lingering across Tennessee and into Arkansas, leading to a chance for heavier precipitation in those areas as outlined by the WPC. It will be important to watch out for potential flooding in these areas, as with heavier rainfall lingering for a couple of days can lead to issues with drainage.

WPC surface fronts and precipitation outlook for Friday // Courtesy: wpc.ncep.noaa.gov


Saturday

For the day on Saturday, we can expect the frontal boundary to slightly dip to the south, bringing some better rain chances to northern portions of Mississippi, Arkansas, and southern parts of Tennessee.

WPC surface fronts and precipitation outlook for Saturday // Courtesy: wpc.ncep.noaa.gov

For temperatures, once again they will remain in the low to mid 90s, with cooler temperatures where we see rain further to the north.

NWS blend of models high temperatures for Friday // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather
NWS blend of models high temperatures for Friday // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather

All in all, most of the precipitation over the next couple of days will be more prominent to the north across Arkansas, Tennessee, and northern portions of Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia. This is due to the front which is mentioned in each day, sticking around the area and creating a suitable environment for more consistent rainfall.

WPC 120-HR precipitation total outlook // Courtesy: Pivotal Weather


3-Day Southeast City Forecast

Dallas, TX
ThursdayFridaySaturday
High: 102High: 101High: 99
Low: 82Low: 79Low: 80
Precip: NonePrecip: 20%Precip: 20%
Houston, TX
ThursdayFridaySaturday
High: 94High: 96High: 97
Low: 79Low: 79Low: 78
Precip: 30%Precip: 40%Precip: 30%
New Orleans, LA
ThursdayFridaySaturday
High: 90High: 91High: 92
Low: 79Low: 78Low: 78
Precip: 70%Precip: 70%Precip: 50%
Little Rock, AR
ThursdayFridaySaturday
High: 96High: 89High: 85
Low: 77Low: 73Low: 72
Precip: 40%Precip: 80%Precip: 70%
Memphis, TN
ThursdayFridaySaturday
High: 94High: 89High: 87
Low: 77Low: 72Low: 73
Precip: 50%Precip: 80%Precip: 70%
Birmingham, AL
ThursdayFridaySaturday
High: 93High: 92High: 91
Low: 75Low: 74Low: 73
Precip: 20%Precip: 50%Precip: 70%
Atlanta, GA
ThursdayFridaySaturday
High: 93High: 91High: 91
Low: 75Low: 74Low: 73
Precip: 30%Precip: 60%Precip: 70%


Author of the article:


Sincere Miranda

Raised in New England and currently attending Plymouth State University '23.