No major changes to the forecast, it still looks like most of the action will be down into the Gulf during the next few days with only a few chances that a stray shower drifts far enough north to give the area any rain.
The next ‘good’ chance for rain arrives around Thanksgiving as the next cold front swings through. There is still some question about how much warmth we can pool ahead of the front. The more warmth, the higher the risk for severe weather.
So far that threat looks relatively low. The CIPS Analogs from Saint Louis University are showing only about a 50-percent shot that, historically-speaking, we get back up to 70 degrees before the next system pushes through.
And we can still get severe weather when the temperature is below 70 degrees, but it is just a little more difficult to do. So for now, I’ll keep the threat of severe weather out of the forecast… But it will need to be monitored
DAY TO DAY FORECAST
Today
Frost this morning. Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
Tonight
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy with a wayward shower possible. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Saturday Night
Cloudy. A chance of showers ending around midnight. Lows in the mid 30s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Sunday
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s.
Monday
Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
Monday Night
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 40.
Tuesday
Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s.
Wednesday
Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
Wednesday Night
Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of showers after midnight. Lows around 50. Chance of rain 20 percent.
Thanksgiving Day
Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. A 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the mid 60s.
