The showers and storms across parts of North Texas and Oklahoma will swing through parts of the region this evening and into the overnight hours. Most of the rain will slide by near and north of I-20 but a handful of storms will develop south of I-20, too.
Here is a timeline of the storms from Pivotal Weather:
Severe weather is not anticipated, but heavy rain, lightning and gusty wind will be possible. Given how warm it will be today, and how cool the air will be on the back-side of these storms, I would be surprised if we see some cool looking shelf clouds develop on the leading edge of the storms.
Once the storms roll through this evening and overnight, there may be just enough umph’ to squeeze out some storms in the morning on Friday. These wouldn’t be as robust, but they would require some extra time in the morning to get around if you have to travel.
Once we break out of these two batches of storms, we may have a quick shot for storms on Sunday and then it turns mostly dry all of next week.
Tropical Update
The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor Invest 91L off the coast of the Yucatan. They still give it an 80-percent chance for development.
Model guidance continues to show that if any development does occur, the storm will be disorganized and messy. Most guidance also shows the system crossing the Florida peninsula near Tampa and continuing out to sea.
Looking at the Rapid Intensification percentages from the SHIPS model, and the chances are actually lower than the climatological average.
So, even more evidence that this thing will be a mess.
It still means rain and gusty wind for Florida, but certainly not a well-organized powerful hurricane.
Day to Day Forecast
Today
Mostly sunny with a 60-percent shot for storms this afternoon – mainly north. Highs in the lower 90s.
Tonight
Mostly cloudy with a few storms possible overnight. Lows around 70. Chance for rain around 20-percent.
Friday
Mostly cloudy in the morning with a few storms possible. Then clearing throughout the day. Highs in the mid 80s. Chance of rain 60-percent.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
Saturday
Sunny. Highs around 90.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s.
Sunday
Mostly sunny wih a shot for a few afternoon storms. Highs in the lower 90s. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows around 70.
Monday
Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
Tuesday
Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s.
Wednesday
Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s.
