Since so many of you guys appreciated my efforts last time, I wanted to offer a quick update for everyone. Here is another long list of towns in the area along with a forecast for each town with respect to Zeta.
Last time, a few folks asked why I included certain towns and not others. It is a good question. I have to choose towns based on population, usually. But I also try to make sure they are geographically AND meteorologically significant. That is to say, I pick towns that are far enough apart where the weather is actually going to be different.
As I said before, doing this isn’t always precise. But I can try to be as accurate as possible. This time it is difficult for a different reason. In this case, the system is merging with a cold front as it moves ashore. There is a bit of we-don’t-know-exactly what will happen in here.
But I’ll give it a shot…
Right now
SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT
LOCATION…21.6N 89.5W
ABOUT 25 MI…40 KM NNE OF PROGRESO MEXICO
ABOUT 520 MI…835 KM S OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…65 MPH…100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT…NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 14 MPH…22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…985 MB…29.09 INCHES
Forecast from the NHC
At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Zeta was located just offshore of the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula near latitude 21.6 North, longitude 89.5 West. Zeta is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general motion is forecast to continue today. Zeta should turn toward the north tonight, and a faster northward to north-northeastward motion is expected on Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Zeta will move over the southern Gulf of Mexico later today and over the central Gulf of Mexico tonight. Zeta is forecast to approach the northern Gulf Coast on Wednesday, make landfall within the hurricane warning area late Wednesday or Wednesday night, and move inland across the southeastern United States early Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Zeta is forecast to re-strengthen while it moves over the southern Gulf of Mexico, and become a hurricane again later today. Zeta is forecast to be at or near hurricane strength when it reaches the northern Gulf Coast late Wednesday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches).
Northern areas
Quitman
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 40mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 8am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 6 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Bay Springs
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 35mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 7am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 6 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Magee
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 30mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 6am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 6 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Near Highway 84
Monticello
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 30mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 5am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are very unlikely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 3 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Collins
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 50mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 8am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 6 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Laurel
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 50mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 8am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 8 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Ellisville
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 50mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 8am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 6 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees.
Waynesboro
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 50mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 4am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 6 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Leakesville
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 60mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showersm, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 4am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 10 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Along Highway 98
Beaumont / McLain
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 65mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 4am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 8 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
New Augusta
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 60mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 8am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 4am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 8 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Hattiesburg / Petal
Timeline
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 55mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 8am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 4am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 6 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Sumrall/Seminary
Timeline
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 55mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 8am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 4am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 6 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Columbia
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 45mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 6am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are Less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 3 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Tylertown
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 35mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 6am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are Less likely here
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 3 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Purvis
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 55mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 8am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 4am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 8 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
The Highway 26 area
Lumberton
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 60mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 8am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 4am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 6 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Poplarville
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 60mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 8am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 4am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 8 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Wiggins
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 70mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 8am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 4am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 12 hours. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
Lucedale
Timeline
Wednesday 4PM-10PM – Passing showers and a few thunderstorms as the first rainbands start to move through the area, breezy and humid with wind gusts up to 40mph
Wednesday 10PM – 4AM – Heavy rain at times, wind gusts up to 80mph
Thursday 4AM-10AM – Lingering showers before 8am, breezy and drier
Thursday 10AM-4PM – Clearing skies, breezy
Expectations
– There will be some localized flooding, with water coming up in people’s yards and the creeks may rise a bit for a short period of time during some of the heavy rain within the rainbands.
– Tornadoes are possible here between Wednesday at 4pm and Thursday at 4am
– Power outages will be likely. Prepare to be without power for up to 12 hours – or more. The combination of a constant breeze and higher gusts as well as some of the rain means trees are likely to come down. On top of that, tropical tornadoes will be possible within some of the rainbands.
– Based on the latest available data, this will not be a widespread catastrophic event for our area. But a some places will still see damage from gusty wind, downed trees and possible tornadoes.
