We have two rogue storms this morning (as of this writing) that are riding along and just behind the warm front that is lifting north. These storms are packing some very large hail and a good bit of lightning, too.
This is the first or two rounds of storms today. The second round will build into the area as we move through the mid-morning hours and then clear out into the afternoon. The severe weather risk as we move through the morning will persist, but does not include the risk for strong tornadoes at this time.
Right now we are more concerned about heavy rain, lightning, gusty wind and hail.
Once we get through the storms this morning, we may see another few isolated storms try to fire up this evening. These are looking rather sparse, but if you get caught under one, it will offer some brief heavy rain, lightning, gusty wind and small hail.
Then we are done for a few days and things calm down for about 24 hours before the next round of rain moves through on Saturday. But there is still some question about just how much of an impact that next system will have on our area.
Beyond that, things calm down as we move through most of next week.
REGIONAL DAY TO DAY FORECAST
Today: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly this morning. Some thunderstorms may be severe this morning. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph, becoming south with gusts up to 20 mph this afternoon. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Tonight: Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.
Friday: Partly sunny in the morning, then clearing. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night: Clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
Saturday: Partly sunny in the morning, then becoming mostly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. A chance of showers in the morning, then showers likely in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 60 percent.
Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 50 percent.
Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
Sunday Night: Clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
Monday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
Monday Night: Clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
Located about 8 miles west of Ellisville. The storm you’re showing on the radar image at 4:26 AM this morning gave ‘us’ pea size hail (sometime between 5:15 and 5:30) and my daughter, who lives on Hwy 84W, just west of Laurel, marble sized hail.