Even though the NHC didn’t send the Hurricane Hunters into Invest 91L today, the meteorologists are still monitoring the system for further development.
Development is possible, but Rapid Intensification is not expected.
Most model data shows Invest 91L moving toward Mexico and ashore as a tropical depression or very weak tropical storm. It is slated to drift north and get ‘sucked in’ to a little front that is going to be sliding across the mid-section of the country.
It could mean extra rainfall for places that really don’t need it across parts of Arkansas, Mississippi, Tennessee and Alabama.
From the NHC:
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure over the Bay of Campeche remain disorganized. This system is expected to move slowly northwestward toward the coast of Mexico, and may become a tropical cyclone before it moves inland in a day or two. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely produce heavy rainfall over portions of southern and eastern Mexico during the next few days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft will investigate the disturbance Monday afternoon, if necessary. Interests along the Gulf coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent.