The SPC is still concerned about a rogue severe storm this afternoon, but it does look like most of the action will be north of I-20 again. And, like I said yesterday, while we can’t rule something out, this certainly isn’t a day to be concerned about “bad” weather.
Just keep an eye to the sky, and when thunder roars, head indoors.
The overall pattern isn’t really one that lends itself to severe weather. Instead, this is more of a ‘big rain’ event to the north. A big shot of cold air is going to try to plow south, but it is going to get stonewalled by this pool of warm moist air from the Gulf and Caribbean.
Ahead of the cold, there will be a lot of places this morning that are 5 to 15 degrees above normal across the eastern 2/3rds of the country.
But then, this first load of the cold air is going to move in and change all of that for a lot of places – except down here. Instead, that cold air is going to run into the warmer air and slow down, shoving all of the warm moist air upward. Causing rain. A lot of rain.
Most of that will fall north of our area, but it also means we will stay warmer through the end of the week. That is when Mother Nature decides it wants to celebrate Mardi Gras with a parade of its own. A parade of low pressure systems and cold fronts.
The first float, is a secondary push of cooler air arrives. That cold front will kick through the area and clear the deck for the weekend – sort of.
Because it doesn’t kick out all of the warmth nor humidity.
Then another system arrives on Sunday! That one should finally do the trick. But it doesn’t last long as it looks like another system is set to move through on Wednesday of next week. And then perhaps another one by the following weekend.
After that point, it looks like we may get a break. For a few days.
Day to Day Forecast
Today
Mostly cloudy with a few showers and storms possible. A severe storms is possible, too, but certainly not likely. Breezy. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon. The chance for rain is around 30 percent.
Tonight
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
Wednesday
Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 80s.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy with a few showers and storms possible as a cold front approaches. Breezy. Highs in the upper 70s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance for rain is around 30-percent.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy with a few showers possible. Lows around 60. The chance of rain 30 percent.
Friday
Mostly cloudy with a few showers possible as a cold front moves through. Cooler. Highs in the mid 60s. The chance of rain 40-percent.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Saturday
Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
Sunday
Partly cloudy with a few showers possible. Highs around 60. Chance for rain around 30-percent.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the mid 30s.
Monday
Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s.
