Slight Risk for severe weather today, dry by tomorrow afternoon: Southern MS/AL/LA Weather Forecast

Showers and storms are back in the forecast today. Plus we will have a round of storms try to swing through overnight, too. The Storm Prediction Center has parts of the area under a Slight Risk, but we aren’t worried about significant severe weather nor any kind of an outbreak. The main threat today will be brief heavy rain, wind gusts up to 60mph and the potential for a brief, weak tornado.

There will be two rounds of storms toda. The afternoon riff-raff and then a weak line of storms overnight tonight.

This animation probably over-estimates the rain near Mobile and under-estimates rainfall elsewhere, but I think it does a good job at painting a general picture: isolated storms today, a more meaningful change for rain overnight.

The forecasting matrix below probably helps line things up a bit better.

That said, I don’t think many spots will see a meaningful amount of rainfall. Some areas will see more than 1″ but I would bet that a lot of the model guidance is over-estimating totals across the area by a good bit. Even the Euro model is showing some spots with up to 3″ of rain and I just don’t think we get that lucky.

Once this rain rolls through, we dry out for the weekend and the next shot for rain looks to arrive as we head into next Week.

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DAY TO DAY FORECAST

Today
Mostly cloudy with Isolated showers and storms through the day. Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 70 percent.

Tonight
Mostly cloudy showers and storms rolling through overnight. Lows in the mid 60s. Chance of rain 60 percent.

Thursday
Partly sunny in the morning, then clearing. Highs in the lower 80s.

Thursday Night
Clear, cooler with lows in the lower 50s.

Friday
Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.

Friday Night
Clear. Lows in the mid 50s.

Saturday
Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

Saturday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.

Sunday
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

Sunday Night
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.

Monday
Mostly sunny. A slight chance of showers and storms in the afternoon. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 20 percent.

Monday Night
Mostly cloudy. Cooler with lows around 50.

Tuesday
Mostly sunny. Cooler with highs in the low 70s.