The National Weather Service has issued a Heat Advisory for today given the hot temperatures and high humidity. Some of you probably felt this yesterday. Today will be no different temperature-wise.
…HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING…
Courtesy: Weather.gov
* WHAT…Heat index values of 105 to 110 degrees expected.
* WHERE…Portions of northeast Louisiana, central, northwest, south central, southeast, southwest and west central Mississippi and southeast Arkansas.
* WHEN…From 10 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening.
* IMPACTS…Hot temperatures and high humidity may cause heat illnesses to occur.
The biggest difference is the chance you get a shower to help cool you down is a bit lower. The atmosphere has been worked-over pretty good the last few days. So we may not see the level of coverage we have the last two days.
In the Tropics
This is one of those storms where it pays to have experience and/or read a ton about past storms. Because if I were trying to Jon Daly this forecast and “Grip and Rip” model data, the end-forecast would be worthless.
There are now two areas of interest. Only one that will impact the Gulf Coast – Invest 92L. And Invest 92L is still spinning in the Bay of Campeche. Model guidance is starting to get a better handle on things. At least for forecast track. Admittedly, there is still a lot of ‘reading between the lines’ as a meteorologist with this one in terms of intensity.
Looking at the European ensembles, the spread is starting to come together.
Of note with this system, it is likely going to be very one-sided with all of the rain on the east side of teh storm. That means if this makes landfall to the west of South Mississippi, the area is going to get dumped on with rain. So pay close attention to the forecast track. You don’t want thi thing pointed toward Louisiana and Texas if you live in Mississippi.
I’ll have a full tropical update out this afternoon / early evening.
Day-to-Day Forecast
Today
Partly cloudy with a 40-percent chance for afternoon storms. Highs in the mid 90s. Heat index values around 105 to 110.
Tonight
Patchy fog overnight, otherwise mostly clear and mild. Lows around 70.
Tuesday
Patchy fog giving way to partly cloudy skies and a 20-percent chance for an afternoon storm. Highs in the mid 90s.
Tuesday Night
Patchy fog after midnight. Mostly clear. Lows in the low 70s.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny with a 20-percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear. Lows around 70.
Thursday
Passing clouds with a 10-percent chance for a shower or storm. Eyes on the Gulf for tropical activity. Highs in the lower 90s.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows around 70.
Friday
Passing clouds with a 40-percent chance rain. Eyes on the Gulf for tropical activity. Highs in the lower 90s.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy with lows around 70.
Saturday
Mostly cloudy with a 50-percent chance rain. Eyes on the Gulf for tropical activity. Highs in the mid to upper 80s
Saturday Night
Mostly cloudy with rain possible. Lows in the lower 70s. The chance of rain 40-percent.
Sunday
Mostly cloudy with a 50-percent chance rain. Eyes on the Gulf for tropical activity. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.
