This little area of low pressure sure is taking its sweet time moseying on out of here. While it is moving, it certainly isn’t in much of a hurry. And until it shifts to the east of the area, there will be enhanced shots for rain each day.
By tomorrow night, though, this thing is pegged to finally move out enough to turn off the spigot. That will help to dry the area out a bit.
Then a ridge of high pressure builds in to the west of the area out in parts of New MExico, Arizona and Texas. That will shift our weather pattern into a northwest flow. That is – generally – a drier weather pattern for the region. While there will still be a shot for rain here and there, it won’t be anything like the last few days.
Tropical Note
The National Hurricane Center is still monitoring an area for possible development during the next five days. Right now, model guidance isn’t very aggressive with development. And that leads me to have very little confidence in proclaiming anything will actually happen with this little area.
So far, most model guidance shows this area slowly lifting northwest before wrapping around a ridge of high pressure and curling back northeast as it gets into the Gulf. Most guidance shows it doing so completely disorganized with rain and some gusty wind, but nothing worth front page headlines, for sure.
Here is the latest from the NHC:
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jun 8 2021
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. An area of low pressure is expected to develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea by Wednesday or Thursday. Some gradual development will be possible thereafter while the system moves slowly northwestward toward Central America. Regardless of development, this system could produce heavy rainfall across northern Colombia and portions of Central America from Honduras southward later this week and into the weekend. See products from your local meteorological service for more information.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.
Day-by-Day Forecast
Today
Partly cloudy with more rain possible.. Highs in the upper 80s. The chance of rain 60-percent. The NWS mentioned that the Heat Index today will be around 100, so please drink plenty of water.
Tonight
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
Wednesday
Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance for storms. Highs around 90. The chance of rain 40-percent.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
Thursday
A 20-percent chance of showers and thunderstorms with passing clouds. Highs in the upper 80s.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
Friday
Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
Saturday
Partly cloudy with a 10-percent chance for a stray shower or storm. Highs around 90.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
Sunday
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s.
Monday
Partly cloudy with a 30-percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s.
