No big changes to the forecast timeline and only minor shifts here and there to the threats. It looks like there will be two chances for storms, pre-frontal convection may develop along a diffuse dryline and then storms along the cold front.
The SPC has continued the Moderate Risk for the area.
During this (and previous) event, people have asked if there is a way to “‘help’ or ‘say thanks’ for all of the forecasting work I do. For the longest time I said, ‘nah! I just like doing this! You know, to help!’ But I was recently convinced that others want to ‘help’ in their own way, too.
And their way of helping, or simply saying ‘thank you’ is with a donation to the blog to help keep it running – or to help keep me running. So I’ve added this link. If you are one of those people, let me say thank you to YOU.
Looking at the model data the ‘two rounds’ of storms are due to two boundaries moving through the region during the day on Tuesday. The first one is the remnant dry line (brown dashed line) and the second is the cold front (blue line).
Underneath that, when looking at the Updraft Helicity Streaks across all of the Convective Allowing Models, the areas where there was the most overlap (generally) were across SW Mississippi, just NW of Jackson, east of Meridian and down toward Hattiesburg.
The Karrie Meter across those same models came in at a 5.51.
How does that compare to past events? I try not to compare events because each event is unique and different and the ingredients are always stacked up differently, not matter how much things ‘feel’ exactly the same.
But here is a tweet from the day before the Easter 2020 outbreak. The Karrie Meter that say was about a 5.5, too.
The Karrie Meter was also in the mid 5s in March of 2021. No big tornadoes. Just hail.
Given that, don’t get too worried about a “repeat” of the Easter 2020 Outbreak.
In fact, looking at the CIPS Analogs, the Top 15 Analogs for this event all occurred before 2012! It has been more than 10 years since a system that looked like this has occurred!
It is also worth noting that six of the Top 15 were “no biggie” events and six of the Top 15 were pretty significant severe weather events. So it is a bit of a boom or bust.
County-by-County Timeline
I’m leaving the timeline as-is for a vast majority of counties. Please- PLEASE! – check back for updates as this timeline may shift a bit as we move through the overnight hours.
Louisiana
St. Helena Parish
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing early, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe before 1p. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
Tangipahoa Parish
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing early, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe before 1p. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
Washington Parish
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing early, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe before 1p. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
Livingston Parish
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing early, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe before 1p. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
St. Tammany Parish
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing early, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe before 1p. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
Mississippi
NEAR I-20
Copiah County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing early, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe before 1p. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
Simpson County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Smith County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Jasper County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Clarke County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Wednesday 4a-10p — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR
Lincoln County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing early, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe before 1p. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Lawrence County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing early, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe before 1p. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Jeff Davis County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Covington County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Jones County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Wayne County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Wednesday 4a-10p — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
HIGHWAY 98 CORRIDOR
Pike County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing early, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe before 1p. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Walthall County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Marion County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Lamar County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Forrest County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Perry County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Greene County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Wednesday 4a-10p — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
HIGHWAY 26 CORRIDOR
Pearl River County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Stone County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
George County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Wednesday 4a-10p — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
COASTAL MISSISSIPPI
Jackson County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Harrison County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Hancock County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms ending. Few remaining storms will be strong, very few, if any, will be severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Wednesday 4a-10p — Turning cooler and breezy.
Alabama
Sumter County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Wednesday 4a-10p — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
Choctaw County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Wednesday 4a-10p — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
Washington County
Tuesday 10a-4p — Isolated showers with few rumbles of thunder developing, very few (if any) storms may be strong to severe. Main threats with any storm will be heavy rain, frequent lightning, gusty wind, small hail, and a tornado can not be ruled out.
Tuesday 4p-10p — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Tuesday 10p-Wednesday 4a — Showers and storms likely, many strong with a handful severe. Main threats with stronger storms will be very heavy rain, frequent lightning, wind gusts up to 70mph, hail up to the size of quarters, and the potential for a tornado (up to EF4 in strength).
Wednesday 4a-10p — Storms ending. Turning cooler and breezy.
