During the next few days, the storm track to the north will offer the chance for storms across northern Arkansas, Mississippi, Tennessee, and points north. Fo closer tot he Gulf Coast, higher pressure is going to build in closer to the surface and the sinking air will limit the chance for afternoon storms through Thursday.
By Thursday and Friday, clusters of storms may traverse the area from north to south as they break from the main storm track, driven by a cold pool.
Then as we head through the weekend and into next week, the overall pattern to the south may open the door for more development in the tropics. The Central American Gyre may become more active again, depending on how the overall setup plays out.
So far, most of the development is shown to be on the Pacific side of Central America, but it is still worth monitoring.
The GEFS ensembles is a little more enthusiastic about development on the Atlantic side as we move toward the end of next week.
Day to Day Forecast
Today
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Heat index values up to 100.
Tonight
Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s.
Wednesday
Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Heat index values up to 100.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s.
Thursday
Mostly sunny. with a 20-percent chance for storms. Highs in the mid 90s. Heat index values up to 105.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy with a 20-percent chance for storms overnight. Lows in the lower 70s.
Friday
Mostly sunny with a 40-percent chance for storms. Highs in the mid 90s. Heat index values up to 100.
Friday Night
Mostly cloudy with a chance storms overnight. Lows in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 40-percent.
Saturday
Partly sunny with a 40-percent chance for storms. Highs in the lower 90s.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy with storms possible overnight. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 30-percent.
Sunday
Mostly sunny. Highs around 90.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear. Lows around 70.
Monday
Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s.
