There is a chance for some storms Thursday night through Friday afternoon across the area, but for the moment it looks like the threat for severe weather is limited and conditional.
Much like I mentioned a week ago (roughly?) we have transitioned in our “MCS season” where we have to wait for clusters of storms, but not cold fronts, to move our way from Arkansas or Tennessee. Friday morning is no different.
You may be thinking, “Nick that looks a lot like a line of storms along a cold front. Will it be cooler?”
Sadly, it is not. And it will not be cooler by much.
Thsi is also why I think the threat for severe weather will be limited. We will have to wait for other mechanisms in the atmosphere to take over in order to get severe weather. And that is a two-fold problem as a forecaster. For one, the mechanisms are a bit harder to predict specifically. And number two, they often don’t lead to as much severe weather.
Generally speaking, the main concern should end up being some patchy of brief heavy rain, brief localized flash flooding, wind gusts up to 60mph possible, and some small hail. And while a tornado can’t be ruled out, it will take some pretty specific situations to spin one out of the clouds.
The Karrie Meter shows values in the 3s and 4s possible across western Mississippi and southeastern Louisiana, but again, nothing overly robust.
Day to Day Forecast
Today
Patchy fog this morning and then mostly sunny this afternoon. Highs around 90.
Tonight
Mostly clear. Patchy fog possible after midnight. Lows in the upper 60s.
Thursday
More patchy fog possible in the morning before we turn partly cloudy by lunch and through the afternoon. Highs around 90.
Thursday Night
Mostly cloudy with a chance for storms after midnight. Some storms may feature heavy rain, gusty wind and small hail. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 40-percent.
Friday
Mostly cloudy with storms possible in the morning and then again in the afternoon. Some storms may be severe. The main concerns are for heavy rain, localized brief flash flooding, wind gusts up to 60mph, and small hail. A tornado cannot be completely ruled out. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 60-percent.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s.
Saturday
Mostly sunny. Highs around 90.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s.
Sunday
Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s.
Monday
Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s.
Monday Night
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s.
Tuesday
Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s.
