8/28/19 10AM Tropical Storm Dorian update

Alrighty, friends. So here is the deal, Tropical Storm Dorian is small(ish) and the models don’t seem to be doing a great job with the data. So expect (yes, expect) changes to this forecast. And…

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8/27/19 11AM Update: Tropical Storm Dorian forecast shifts slightly in track and strength

Tropical Storm Dorian continues to move through the Caribbean after moving through the Martinique and St. Lucia. Here is the latest from the NHC: SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION ———————————————– LOCATION…14.2N 61.8W ABOUT 60…

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8/26/19 Update: Tropical Storm Dorian key messages from NHC with model data

As of 11:30p CDT, Tropical Storm Dorian continues to try to organize itself. Here is the latest forecast graphic from the NHC: Latest on Tropical Storm Dorian (10p CDT) has it slightly weaker than original…

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8/26/19 2AM update: Tropical Storm Dorian

As the overnight data continues to trickle in, not much has changed in the short term with Dorian. But as we look toward the Labor Day weekend, the overall pattern is starting to look a…

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8/25/19 7PM Update: Tropical Storm Dorian

Since the tropics have been reasonably quiet all August, this quick burst of activity has a lot of people’s attention. This increase in activity isn’t unusual. Now that we are getting closer to September and…

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TD5 now Tropical Storm Dorian, NHC forecast shows potential hurricane by Tuesday

Tropical Depression Five is now Tropical Storm Dorian. The storm continues to organize and strengthen east of the great & Lesser Antilles. Latest model data continues to show strengthening, but the model guidance is starting…

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NOAA increases chance for above-average activity for the rest of Hurricane Season

NOAA released its mid-season review of the seasonal outlook for Hurricane Season this morning. The numbers have been revised, and increased, given the El Nino is starting to subside. Press release from the NOAA: NOAA…

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Invest96L got eaten today, but it’s not quite dead yet

Invest 96L continues to hold on to dear life. A lot like the guy who didn’t want to “go on the cart” in Monty Python, this thing is not quite dead yet. In fact, the…

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