8/25/20 Early AM Tropics update: Breaking down Laura’s path north

I wanted to take some time to lay out some scenarios for everyone as it relates to Laura’s path. While the path is going to determine the strength and vice-versa, and we can estimate some…

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8/24/20 Midday Tropics overview: Marco & Laura

Here is just a quick update on how things are stacking up out in the Tropics right now: Marco is producing heavy rains across parts of the Florida panhandle and Alabama as the center of…

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8/24/20 Early AM Tropics Update: Marco getting beat up, Laura cruising easy

Really, on any other year, it would be the opposite. Marco, moving through the central gulf would be “cruising easy” and Laura would be the one getting “beat up” by the mountains of Cuba. But…

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8/23/20 AM NHC UPDATE: TS Marco slides north, TS Laura churns through Caribbean

Before we dive into the noes from the National Hurricane Center, it is important to mention that as the data from the Hurricane Hunters continues to get ingested into the models, the forecasts will continue…

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NHC updates forecasts, shifts both forecasts toward central Gulf Coast

The 4pm update was released from the NHC a bit ago, and it shows a reasonably dramatic shift in the forecasts for both Marco and Laura. The changes are likely prompted by the current interaction…

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Hype-free: Two tropical storms headed into the Gulf – what we know, don’t know, can’t know, and want to know

As most of you guys know,I never claim to have all of the answers. But, I know there are a TON of questions floating around with these two storms and – with the reasonable rarity…

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Two Tropical Depressions aimed at United States expected to strengthen

The tropics continue to ramp up as Invest 97L has now organized itself enough to be designated a Tropical Depression. Just 12 hours ago Invest 98L did the same thing. The thought it that both…

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Invest97L & Invest98L continue to organize, gain strength

There is still a lot we don’t know about what will happen with the two Invests that are floating around in the Atlantic. In this video I try to sort through some of the potential…

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Both Colorado State & NOAA independently increase seasonal Hurricane numbers

Because: 2020. Am I right? This morning, NOAA released their update to the seasonal prediction for tropical activity in the Atlantic basin. The numbers aren’t “incredibly” higher, but the increase does mean there is a…

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